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(Chest. 2000;118:1100-1105.)
© 2000 American College of Chest Physicians

Acute Respiratory Failure in the United States*

Incidence and 31-Day Survival

Carolyn E. Behrendt, PhD

* From Children’s Hospital, San Diego, CA.

Correspondence to: Carolyn E. Behrendt, PhD, 4065 3413 Paseo del Campo, Palos Verdes, CA 90274; e-mail: CarolynBehrendt{at}yahoo.com

Study objectives: To estimate the incidence of acute respiratory failure (ARF) in the United States and to analyze 31-day hospital mortality among a cohort of patients with ARF.

Design and setting: Retrospective cohort drawn from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample of 6.4 million discharges from 904 representative nonfederal hospitals during 1994.

Patients: All 61,223 patients in the sample whose discharge records indicated all of the following: acute respiratory distress or failure, mechanical ventilation, >= 24 h of hospitalization, and age >= 5 years.

Results: An estimated 329,766 patients discharged from nonfederal hospitals nationwide in 1994 met study criteria for ARF. The incidence of ARF was 137.1 hospitalizations per 100,000 US residents age >= 5 years. Incidence increased nearly exponentially each decade until age 85 years. Overall, 35.9% of patients with ARF did not survive to hospital discharge. At 31 days, hospital mortality was 31.4%. According to the proportional hazards model, significant mortality hazards included age (>= 80 years and >= 30 years), multiorgan system failure (MOSF), HIV, chronic liver disease, and cancer. Hospital admission for coronary artery bypass, drug overdose, or trauma other than head injury or burns was associated with a reduced mortality hazard. Interaction was present between age and MOSF, trauma, and cancer. A point system derived from the hazard model classified patients into seven groups with distinct 31-day survival probabilities ranging from 24 to 99%.

Conclusions: The incidence of ARF increases markedly with age and is especially high among persons >= 65 years of age. Nonpulmonary hazards explain short-term (31-day) survival.

Key Words: acute disease • adult • aged • child • hospital mortality • incidence • respiratory insufficiency • survival analysis • United States




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