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Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Switzerland, Clinic for Pneumology and Respiratory Cell Research, University Hospital Basel, Switzerland
chmueller{at}uhbs.ch
Abstract
Background: In patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) prognosis might be determined at least in part by the extent of cardiac stress induced by hypoxia and pulmonary arterial hypertension.
Methods: B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), a quantitative marker of cardiac stress, was determined in 208 consecutive patients presenting to the emergency department with an acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD). The accuracy of BNP to predict death at 2-years follow up was evaluated as the primary endpoint. The need for intensive care and in-hospital mortality were determined as secondary endpoints.
Results: BNP levels were significantly elevated during the acute exacerbation compared to recovery (65pg/ml [34-189] vs. 45pg/ml [25-85], p<0.001), particularly in those patients requiring ICU treatment (105pg/ml [66-553] vs. 60pg/ml [31-169], p=0.007]. In multivariate Cox regression analysis BNP accurately predicted the need for ICU care (HR 1.13; 95%CI 1.03-1.24 for an increase in BNP of 100pg/ml; p=0.008). In a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to evaluate the potential of BNP levels to predict short- and long-term mortality the area under the curves was 0.55 (SD 0.71, 95%CI 0.41-0.68) and 0.56 (SD 0.53; 95%CI 0.45-0.66) respectively.
Conclusions: In patients with AECOPD, BNP levels independently predict the need for intensive care. However, BNP levels failed to adequately predict short-and long-term mortality in AECOPD patients.
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