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(Chest. 1999;115:403-409.)
© 1999 American College of Chest Physicians

Persistent Increases of BAL Neutrophils as a Predictor of Mortality Following Lung Transplant*

Jonathan A. Henke, BA; Jeffrey A. Golden, MD; Edward H. Yelin, PhD; Fraser A. Keith, MD, FCCP and Paul D. Blanc, MD, MSPH, FCCP

* From the Department of Medicine (Mr. Henke and Drs. Golden, Yelin, and Blanc), Cardiovascular Research Institute (Drs. Golden and Blanc), and Department of Surgery (Dr. Keith), University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.


    Abstract
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Materials and Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 References
 
Study objectives: To evaluate whether findings from surveillance bronchoscopy predict survival following lung transplantation.

Design: Retrospective review and analysis of 498 bronchoscopies with transbronchial biopsy (TBB) and BAL performed in 34 patients after lung transplantation.

Setting: University-based, tertiary referral medical center.

Patients: Thirty-four patients after lung transplantation. The mean age at transplantation was 49 ± 9 years; 20 (59%) were female. Twenty-four (71%) underwent single and 10 (29%) underwent bilateral lung transplantation. The most common pretransplantation diagnostic groups were emphysema/COPD without concomitant {alpha}1-antiprotease deficiency (n = 13) and other obstructive disease processes (n = 10).

Interventions: Over follow-up, subjects underwent multiple bronchoscopies with TBB and BAL. The median number per subject was 15 (25 to 75% range 13 to 17).

Measurements and results: We calculated the overall median BAL WBCs and median percent neutrophils (polymorphonuclear leukocytes [PMNs]) among all of the BALs performed for each subject. We then calculated the mean ± SD of those median values. We used Cox proportionate hazards to assess mortality risk. The median overall follow-up observation period for the cohort was 560 days. There were 11 deaths during this period. Twenty-four subjects (71%) had acute rejection (AR) grades 2 to 4 (mild to severe), and nine (27%) had obliterative bronchiolitis (OB) diagnosed by TBB at any point. The mean value for BAL WBCs was 366 ± 145 x 103 per milliliter; for percentage PMNs, the mean was 7 ± 10%. Adjusting for age, gender, single vs bilateral lung transplantation, pretransplantation diagnostic group, presence of AR, presence of OB, BAL WBC concentration, and lymphocyte CD4/CD8 ratio, PMN percent was a significant predictor of mortality (p = 0.02).

Conclusions: Ongoing inflammation manifested by an increased percentage PMNs over repeated bronchoscopies predicts mortality following lung transplantation. Biopsy data alone may be insufficient to identify posttransplantation patients at risk of poor outcome.

Key Words: bronchoalveolar lavage • bronchoscopy • lung transplant • neutrophils • transbronchial biopsy


    Introduction
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Materials and Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 References
 
Over the past decade, lung transplantation has become an increasingly common treatment option for late-stage pulmonary disease. Short-term outcomes are excellent, but long-term survival remains a major clinical challenge. Survival rates remain under 50% 5 years after transplantation.1

The greatest threats to patient survival posttransplantation are infection, acute rejection (AR), and obliterative bronchiolitis (OB).2 ,3 ,4 ,5 ,6 The distinction between infection and AR can be difficult based on clinical symptoms alone, often requiring confirmation through transbronchial biopsy (TBB) specimens and BAL.6 ,7 ,8 ,9 In contrast to AR and infection, OB is often diagnosed on the basis of lung function, although TBB specimens can be confirmatory.2 ,10 ,11 The role of BAL in evaluating OB remains to be established. Nevertheless, a recent review noted that although research into markers of OB in BAL remains rudimentary, it is an area of considerable promise.2

We studied 34 patients after lung transplantation to evaluate whether findings from surveillance bronchoscopies, including both TBB and BAL, were predictive of patient survival.


    Materials and Methods
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Materials and Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 References
 
Subject Selection
We retrospectively studied patients who had undergone lung transplantation at the University of California San Francisco (UCSF). Study entry criteria were as follows: single or bilateral lung transplantation at UCSF between October 1991 and May 1996. The initial inclusion date marked the onset of the lung transplantation program at UCSF. We limited study eligibility to those with follow-up and postsurgical survival for at least 2 months by September 30, 1996, and excluded those with concomitant heart transplantation. All research methods were approved by UCSF's Committee on Human Research, and participating subjects gave their written informed consent to all procedures.

Postoperative Bronchoscopic Evaluations
All lung transplantation patients, as part of a routine clinical surveillance protocol, underwent regular, periodic surveillance bronchoscopies with BAL and transbronchial lung biopsies. These evaluations were carried out on a preset schedule of every 2 weeks for the first 2 months after transplantation, followed by every month for the next 3 months, then every 3 months for 6 months and, finally, at 6-month intervals. Eighteen-month follow-up, therefore, would typically include 10 surveillance bronchoscopies. Additional bronchoscopies were also carried out as indicated on clinical grounds.

Bronchoalveolar Lavage
The distal tip of the fiberoptic bronchoscope (Pentax FB-19 TX; Pentax Precision Instrument Corp; Orangeburg, NY) was wedged into the allograft in either the right middle lobe or left lingular bronchus. Sterile normal saline solution was instilled in 20-mL boluses and aspirated serially with collection in sequential suction traps (Sherwood Medical; St. Louis, MO) for a total lavage instillation of approximately 150 mL. Each of three sequential traps was filled with 20 to 30 mL of return (approximately 50% of instilled saline solution). The first trap collected was used for microbiological cultures, including cytomegalovirus (CMV) culture. Total cell count and differential count were assessed from the second trap and were performed by the clinical laboratories of UCSF using standard hemocytometer and staining techniques, as previously published.12 The third trap was used for lymphocyte phenotyping, performed by the UCSF Clinical Immunology Laboratory using automated flow cytometry with fluorescent-labeled monoclonal antibodies directed against standard cell surface antibodies.

Examining microbiological culture results, we identified all subjects in whom BAL cultures tested positive for CMV at any time posttransplantation and those who were CMV positive within the first 3 months posttransplantation. We defined these latter subjects as early CMV positive for the purposes of this analysis. Because CMV diagnosis early posttransplantation has been found to be a risk factor for poorer outcomes13 and because survival until later culture positivity would, of necessity, be linked to overall survival, we examined only early BAL culture positivity as a predictor in our model.

Transbronchial Lung Biopsies
Eight to 10 transbronchial lung biopsy specimens were routinely obtained immediately following BAL. Using biopsy forceps (Pentax Crocodile, Large Cup Biopsy Forceps KA-2411s; Orangeburg, NY), specimens were obtained from two different subsegments of the lower lobe. AR was classified histologically as minimal to severe (grades 1 through 4) according to standard criteria of the "Working Formulation of the Lung Study Group."14 For our data analysis, we considered AR to have occurred if present histologically and graded mild, moderate, or severe (grades 2 to 4) in any of the serial biopsy specimens. OB was graded histologically based on the degree of scarring and fibrosis of small peripheral airways and designated as total or subtotal, active or inactive. We considered OB to have occurred if present histologically in any designation in any of the serial biopsy specimens.

Pulmonary Function Testing
All subjects underwent serial pulmonary function testing (PFT) according to standard American Thoracic Society criteria15 with at least as much frequency as surveillance bronchoscopy. This allowed us to develop an alternative definition of bronchiolitis obliterans defined by decline in FEV1 rather than biopsy. We employed the standard approach to the designation of physiologic bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (BOS) defining BOS dichotomously when present as stage 2 or 3 (<=65% of the baseline posttransplantation FEV1 value).16

Data Collection
Demographic data and the clinicopathologic diagnosis leading to lung transplantation were extracted from a clinical database maintained on all transplantation patients. Based on these data, we collapsed the patients into one of three pretransplantation diagnostic categories: chronic obstructive lung disease associated with cigarette smoking and without {alpha}1-antiprotease deficiency; other obstructive lung diseases, including cystic fibrosis, bronchiectasis, and {alpha}1-antiprotease deficiency (with or without concomitant cigarette smoking); and interstitial lung disease including idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. We also extracted from the database the results of TBB and BAL studies, as well as date of transplantation surgery and the date of death, if death occurred. PFT results were extracted from the laboratory's computerized record system. We confirmed BAL and biopsy data with a second, hospital-wide computerized laboratory database.

Data Analysis
We analyzed the data using a standard statistical package (SAS; Cary, NC). We tested differences between survivors and nonsurvivors for BAL polymorphonuclear leukocyte (PMN) percentage using the Wilcoxon rank sum test. We used Fisher's Exact Test for the association between BOS and OB. Using Cox proportionate hazard modeling, we studied the relationship between the predictors of study interest and time elapsed until death. This technique best utilizes data from subjects followed up for varying lengths of time. Observations were censored if patients were alive as of September 30, 1996. The predictive variables we studied fell into four groups: core demographic and clinical data at the time of transplantation; BAL cell and culture data; transbronchial biopsy data; and pulmonary function results.

The following were core demographic and clinical predictors we initially included in the Cox model: age at transplantation, gender, single vs bilateral lung transplantation, and diagnostic group. The diagnostic groups of smoking-related COPD exclusive of {alpha}1-antiprotease deficiency and emphysema as one category and obstructive diseases including cystic fibrosis and {alpha}1-antiprotease deficiency as a second category were treated as two separate indicator variables. In this way, fibrotic or vascular lung disease served as the remaining, referent diagnostic category. We chose these potential predictors on an a priori basis.

The BAL cell variables analyzed as predictors of mortality were the absolute concentration of leukocytes and the percentage of PMNs relative to total leukocytes. We used the median rather than mean value of observed BAL leukocytes and PMN percentage over all of the BAL studies performed during the observation period for each patient. We did not include in the same model the percent macrophages because this was strongly inversely correlated with the percentage of PMNs. We also tested as additional predictors the median ratio of CD4 to CD8 BAL lymphocytes over the sequential studies and CMV-culture positivity within 3 months posttransplantation. As detailed previously, the TBB findings were defined dichotomously as two variables: rejection (present or absent) or OB (present or absent). The PFT-derived variable we tested was that of BOS defined by FEV1 decline.

We tested Cox proportionate hazard models containing the core demographic clinical predictors with BAL leukocytes and percentage of PMNs. We reestimated the model adding the biopsy variables of OB and AR together with the CD4/CD8 ratio. We also tested the additional explanatory power of CMV-culture positivity. We compared the predictive power of models by testing the difference in model {chi}2 with and without the added variables in question. We also retested the model substituting PFT-defined BOS for OB defined histologically.


    Results
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Materials and Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 References
 
Demographic and clinical data for the 34 subjects in the study are summarized in Table 1 . There was a fairly even gender mix and a mean age of 49.1 ± 9.5 years. The predominant procedure was a single lung transplantation, carried out in 24 (71%) of the 34 patients. The clinical indications for transplantation were mixed, with subjects falling into three broadly defined groups: smoking-related obstructive lung disease with emphysema but without {alpha}1-antiprotease deficiency; other obstructive lung diseases, including {alpha}1-antiprotease deficiency (n = 6), bronchiectasis (n = 3), and cystic fibrosis (n = 1); and restrictive or vascular disease, including idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (n = 5), primary pulmonary hypertension (n = 3), and other conditions, including secondary pulmonary hypertension (n = 3).


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Table 1. Demographic and Clinical Data for 34 Lung Transplantation Cases

 
The posttransplantation surveillance bronchoscopy data are included in Table 2 . The median number of bronchoscopies performed with BAL data available for analysis was 15 per subject, although not all subjects had lymphocyte subtyping available for analysis from each procedure (median samples for lymphocyte phenotyping = 13.5 per subject). For BAL data, Table 2 presents the descriptive data for the median value among all of the procedures performed for each individual subject (see "Materials and Methods" section). Although this dampens the effect of extreme values, there was still a wide range of findings. For example, although the mean ± SD of all median values for PMNs as a percent of BAL leukocytes was 6.7 ± 10.4%, five subjects had median values above 10% and five subjects had median values of only 1%.


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Table 2. Posttransplantation Bronchoscopic Surveillance Measures

 
Ten subjects (29%) were noted to be CMV-culture positive by BAL within the first 3 months posttransplantation. An additional 20 subjects (59%) were not CMV positive within the first 3 months but did have at least one positive BAL culture later in follow-up, including 5 subjects (15%) who were only found to be positive 1 year or more after transplantation.

Table 2 also includes the results of surveillance TBBs. Although 79% of the subjects (n = 27) had evidence of either OB or AR at some point, only 6 subjects had both findings at any point in time. Twelve subjects (35%) had BOS (grade 2 or 3) by PFT at some point posttransplantation, including seven (21%) who also had OB by TBB specimen. BOS and OB were statistically associated (Fisher's Exact Test, p = 0.004).

A comparison of BAL data for median percentage of PMNs among those alive at follow-up as compared with nonsurvivors is shown in Figure 1 . The median value for the survivors was 2%, while for nonsurvivors it was 7%. This difference was statistically significant (Wilcoxon rank sum test, p = 0.0003).



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Figure 1. BAL PMNs as a percentage of all leukocytes (WBCs) among survivors after lung transplantation at follow-up (median = 2%) compared with nonsurvivors (median = 7%) (Wilcoxon rank sum, p = 0.0003).

 
For the entire group, the median follow-up time until either death or study censorship was 18 months (25th to 75th interquartile range, 10 to 34 months). There were 11 deaths among the 34 subjects studied. The median time elapsed until death was 15 months (interquartile range, 5 to 29 months). Among the 11 deaths, 6 were attributed to graft failure and/or OB, 2 to infection, and 3 to other, nonpulmonary causes.

The initial {chi}2 of the Cox proportionate hazards model was 17.7 (p = 0.014) including only the seven core variables of median BAL; ie, total WBC and PMN percentage and five key clinical and demographic variables at baseline: age, gender, single vs bilateral lung transplantation, and two of the three pretransplantation diagnostic groups (with the third as the default referent). We then built upon the model by testing the impact of five additional variables: TBB AR, TBB OB, BAL lymphocyte CD4/CD8 ratio, early CMV-culture positivity, and PFT BOS.

Adding the two biopsy variables of OB and AR to the model increased its predictive power marginally (model {chi}2 difference = 5.5, 2 df; p = 0.06). However, when the three additional variables of CD4/CD8 ratio, OB, and AR were together added to the same seven-variable core model, its overall explanatory power increased significantly (model {chi}2 difference = 9.3, 3 df; p = 0.03). Addition of early CMV BAL culture positivity did not significantly increase the model's explanatory power (model {chi}2 difference = 1.3, 1 df; p = 0.26). CMV positivity was not statistically predictive of mortality (Wald {chi}2 = 1.2; p = 0.26) and did not account for the association between percent of PMNs and mortality in the same model (p = 0.019 for PMN percentage after inclusion of CMV in model).

Substitution of BOS defined by PFT for biopsy specimen-defined OB provided less explanatory power, both for the risk factor itself (direction of risk changed from positive to negative; Wald {chi}2 = 0.2; p = 0.68) and for the model overall (model {chi}2 21.3 vs 27.0, 10 df for each model). Substitution of BOS did not substantively change the association between PMN percentage and mortality.

The final model is presented in Table 3 . As shown, the concentration of BAL PMNs as a median proportion of leukocytes over all sequential studies over follow-up was a powerful predictor of poor survival. This takes into account all of the other variables in the model, many of which were also significant predictors of mortality.


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Table 3. Predictors of Posttransplantation Mortality: Multivariate Analysis

 

    Discussion
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Materials and Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 References
 
Most active lung transplant centers report performing surveillance bronchoscopies on a regular basis. Despite this widespread practice, there has been little consensus on the utility of such results in influencing treatment or predicting outcomes.4 ,5 ,6 ,7 ,17 ,18 ,19 ,20 ,21 In a 1997 survey by Kukafka et al,4 68% of lung transplant centers reported performing lung biopsies specifically for surveillance, but they expressed diverse views as to the optimal frequency and timing of the procedure. Moreover, that survey elicited a variety of opinions as to how results should trigger treatment.

A great deal of research has focused on the diagnosis of discrete episodes of infection or AR among lung transplantation recipients.3 ,5 ,6 ,8 ,9 ,19 ,20 ,21 ,22 ,23 There has been little study, however, of the impact of persistent lung inflammation following transplantation, even during periods of relative health. Rather, studies of BAL findings have generally focused on isolated BAL results at a specific point in time.7 ,8 ,17 ,19 ,21 ,22 ,23

In this study, we analyzed the results of 498 bronchoscopies, including TBB and BAL, performed in 34 patients after lung transplantation. One strength of this study is the wealth of follow-up data on each patient. Our protocol specified nine surveillance bronchoscopies in the first year posttransplantation, with additional diagnostic bronchoscopies in response to clinical indications. We had available for analysis a median of 15 bronchoscopies per patient during the study period. Previously published research has been based on a much smaller selection of biopsy or BAL data per patient, ranging from 1.8 to 7.3 bronchoscopies per patient.3 ,6 ,7 ,8 ,9 ,10 ,19 ,20 ,21 ,22 ,23 ,24 The large number of observations for each patient allows us to better examine the overall pattern of bronchoscopic data, especially during periods without clinical complications, that might prompt diagnostic bronchoscopy.

For each patient, we analyzed the median value of the percentage of PMNs relative to all leukocytes, integrated over all of their follow-up bronchoscopies. A high PMN percentage observed in a single lavage could indeed reflect an episode of infection or of AR.7 Nevertheless, analysis of the entire posttransplantation follow-up period and the use of the median instead of the mean minimizes the influence of isolated extreme measurements due to discrete clinical events. It also dampens the impact of experimental or nonnormally distributed random variation.

Our analysis demonstrates that a persistently elevated neutrophil percentage is a statistically significant predictor of mortality following lung transplantation. In fact, the long-term pattern of BAL cell counts was at least as powerful a predictor of mortality risk as were biopsy diagnoses of AR or OB, complications generally considered the most potent threats to lung transplantation recipients. Moreover, the neutrophil-associated risk did not appear to be affected by the other potential confounding factors we included in our model, which accounted for key clinical and demographic covariates.

There are several potential explanations for the apparent risk imputed by chronic BAL inflammation independent of biopsy specimen-identified AR or OB.

Since PMN percentage increases substantially in the presence of infection, the observed elevated PMN percentage could reflect multiple episodes of acute infection.7 ,23 ,24 However, the use of the median PMN percentage value instead of the mean, derived from the large number of bronchoscopies being studied, makes this unlikely.

Previous research has indicated that early CMV infection following lung transplantation is a risk factor for worse outcome (BOS).13 Nevertheless, in our model, the presence of CMV in BAL culture early in the posttransplantation course failed to account for the predictive power of PMN percentage and was not itself a significant predictor of mortality, indicating that the elevated PMN percentage measured was not simply a marker of CMV infection.

TBB is recognized as the procedure of choice for the diagnosis of AR.3 ,9 Our model took biopsy specimen-detected AR into account, but this failed to explain the predictive power of BAL PMN percentage in the multivariate analysis. Moreover, as with infection, the impact of isolated episodes of AR would be unlikely to have a substantial effect of the median value of PMN percentage. Given our analytic strategy, this would not explain the observed relative weakness of rejection diagnosis in predicting mortality. Similarly, if PMN percentage were solely a marker of insufficient pharmacologic immunosuppression, inclusion of the lymphocyte phenotype data should have captured this effect.7 ,25

Previous research has indicated that the sensitivity of TBB for OB may be poor18 ,10 (although this observation has not been universal11 ). The limited power of an OB diagnosis as a predictor of mortality in our study may reflect the limitations of TBB as a diagnostic tool, to the extent that occurrences of OB among the study patients went undiagnosed prior to death. Our study showed a cumulative incidence of OB diagnosed by TBB specimens of 26% at any point during the study period, on the low end of the commonly reported range of 25 to 40%.26 ,27 Substituting BOS, defined as a decline in PFT FEV1, for OB provided even less explanatory power and still failed to account for the impact of the PMN percentage. Since elevated neutrophil percentages in BAL have been associated with the presence of infection, OB, or AR,7 ,23 ,24 the elevated PMN percentage that we observed may actually be a marker for episodes of OB undetected by simultaneous TBB. This suggests that surveillance BAL may indeed be a particularly valuable tool for early detection of OB, providing greater sensitivity than TBB or PFT alone.

DiGiovine and coinvestigators24 have made the intriguing observation that an elevated level of neutrophils both predicts the onset of OB and predates diagnosis by nearly a year. They also found that neutrophilia persisted even when patients were treated for OB. This relationship would be consistent with our findings.

The possibility remains that the elevated PMN percentage in fact represents a risk factor independent of acute infection, AR, or OB. For example, stimulation of proinflammatory cytokines through neural or other pathways could lead to an elevated PMN percentage. If so, new anti-inflammatory drugs that interfere with such cytokines may be employed in the future in situations with bronchoscopic evidence of elevated PMNs. Further research is needed to clarify the potential etiology and impact of ongoing, low-grade inflammatory cellular response following lung transplantation.

Our findings reinforce the potential importance of surveillance bronchoscopy with BAL following lung transplantation. Based on these data, persistent neutrophilia should be considered a significant potential threat to posttransplantation patient survival.


    Footnotes
 
Correspondence to: Paul D. Blanc, MD, MSPH, 350 Parnassus Ave, No. 609, San Francisco, CA 94143-0924

Abbreviations: AR = acute rejection; BOS = bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome; CMV = cytomegalovirus; OB = obliterative bronchiolitis; PFT = pulmonary function test; PMNs = neutrophils (polymorphonuclear leukocytes); TBB = transbronchial biopsy; UCSF = University of California, San Francisco

Received for publication April 28, 1998. Accepted for publication September 19, 1998.


    References
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Materials and Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 References
 

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Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med.Home page
K. C. MEYER, D. R. NUNLEY, J. H. DAUBER, A. T. IACONO, R. J. KEENAN, R. D. CORNWELL, and R. B. LOVE
Neutrophils, Unopposed Neutrophil Elastase, and Alpha1-Antiprotease Defenses Following Human Lung Transplantation
Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., July 1, 2001; 164(1): 97 - 102.
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ThoraxHome page
K M Beeh, O Kornmann, J Lill, and R Buhl
Induced sputum cell profiles in lung transplant recipients with or without chronic rejection: correlation with lung function
Thorax, July 1, 2001; 56(7): 557 - 560.
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Am. J. Pathol.Home page
C. Agostini, F. Calabrese, F. Rea, M. Facco, A. Tosoni, M. Loy, G. Binotto, M. Valente, L. Trentin, and G. Semenzato
CXCR3 and Its Ligand CXCL10 Are Expressed by Inflammatory Cells Infiltrating Lung Allografts and Mediate Chemotaxis of T Cells at Sites of Rejection
Am. J. Pathol., May 1, 2001; 158(5): 1703 - 1711.
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ThoraxHome page
L. Zheng, E H. Walters, C. Ward, N. Wang, B. Orsida, H. Whitford, T. J Williams, T. Kotsimbos, and G. I Snell
Airway neutrophilia in stable and bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome patients following lung transplantation
Thorax, January 1, 2000; 55(1): 53 - 59.
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