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From the Robert Wood Johnson Clinical Scholars Program (Dr. Bach), The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL; the Department of Medicine (Dr. Calhoun), Institute for Health Services Research and Policy Studies, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL; and the Department of Medicine (Dr. Bennett), Chicago VA Healthcare System, Chicago, IL.
Correspondence to: Peter B. Bach, MD, MAPP, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Box 44, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, 1275 York Ave, New York, NY 10021; e-mail: bachp@biosta.mskcc.org
| Abstract |
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Design, setting, participants: A postal survey was sent to a random sample of 1,500 internists and family physicians in the United States drawn from the American Medical Association master file who were identified by a pharmaceutical marketing company as having written prescriptions for AIDS-related agents in the previous year.
Measurements and results: The survey had a 53% response rate. Physicians more experienced in AIDS care were more likely to advocate diagnostic bronchoscopy over initiation of empiric anti-PCP therapy for HIV-infected patients with undiagnosed pulmonary infiltrates (odds ratio [OR], 1.4 for a patient with mild severity of illness [p = 0.02]; OR, 1.7 for a severely ill patient [p < 0.001]). Physician specialty and fee-for-service reimbursement were independently associated with higher rates of bronchoscopy, with internists favoring bronchoscopy more frequently than family physicians. High-experience providers and internists also predicted better clinical outcomes for the hypothetical patients.
Conclusions: Our findings extend the observations about HIV experience and PCP prophylaxis to the setting of diagnosis and treatment. Physicians with higher levels of experience with AIDS, internists, and physicians reimbursed as fee-for-service providers are more likely to support diagnostic confirmation of PCP than empiric treatment approaches.
Key Words: AIDS outcome and process assessment physician practice patterns pneumonia postal survey prognosis
| Introduction |
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Patterns of appropriate care for patients with suspected cases of PCP have been identified previously. A consensus panel indicated that early use of diagnostic tests such as bronchoscopy was one of the most important elements of good process of care, primarily because of concern that other pathogens such as pulmonary tuberculosis and community-acquired bacterial infection may go unrecognized.5 Among HIV-infected individuals with suspected cases of PCP who were treated in Chicago, IL, Los Angeles, CA, and Miami, FL, between 1987 and 1990, persons who underwent bronchoscopy within 2 days of admission were one third less likely to die in-hospital than others, even after adjustment for differences in the severity of illness. Although studies have found that physicians with higher levels of experience with AIDS are more likely to use appropriate antiretroviral therapies and anti-PCP prophylaxis and that their patients have longer survival rates, to our knowledge, no prior study has included information on variations in physician practice patterns for severe opportunistic infections such as HIV-related PCP.6 7
In this study, we sought to better understand the preferences of individual physicians to pursue diagnostic confirmation vs empiric treatment for patients with suspected HIV-related PCP. With the assistance of a pharmaceutical marketing company database, we targeted a broad range of physicians who varied with respect to specialty training and experience with HIV-infected individuals. The survey addressed two general types of questions about variations in care of suspected PCP. Are physicians with higher levels of HIV experience more likely to pursue diagnostic confirmation than their less-experienced colleagues? Do high-experience physicians predict better outcomes for persons with HIV-related PCP? We also wondered whether physicians who reported being reimbursed as fee-for-service would favor bronchoscopy more than their peers, as suggested by previous research into HIV care.8
| Materials and Methods |
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Physicians were divided into equal-sized quintiles of prescribing patterns, with the first quintile containing physicians who had written between 1 and 2 prescriptions for AIDS-related drugs in the previous year (for a list of the agents, ); the second, 3 to 6 prescriptions; the third, 7 to 16; the fourth, 17 to 52; and the fifth, 53 to 2,314. We randomly selected 500 physicians to receive the survey from each of the top three quintiles to maximize the likelihood that our subjects were active in the care of patients with HIV infection. We have described the utility of this sampling strategy elsewhere.9
Subjects were mailed a five-page survey booklet requiring approximately 7 min to complete, given a $1 incentive, and assured that participation was voluntary and that responses were confidential. Those who did not respond within 50 days were sent a second copy of the survey. This research was approved by the Institutional Review Board at the University of Chicago. Every subject received the same survey, with the exception that the patient's risk factors were randomly assigned, so that a particular recipient might be informed that one of the patients had acquired HIV through a transfusion, whereas another recipient might be informed that the same patient had acquired HIV through injection drug use.
The survey elicited the following: (1) responses to questions about the use of diagnostic bronchoscopy in the care of two hypothetical patients with possible PCP; (2) responses to questions about clinical experience with the care of AIDS patients; (3) professional and demographic information, including a response to the question "How would you define most of your clinical reimbursement" followed by choices of "fixed salary," "fee-for-service," "capitation," and "other." Before distribution, the survey instrument was reviewed by 2 experts in survey administration and composition, and 6 experts in infectious diseases and pulmonary medicine, and was pretested on 30 internists and 5 family physicians.
Measures of Practice
Two scenarios described patients with HIV infection who had
undiagnosed pulmonary processes and were at risk for PCP. A brief
history, list of symptoms, chest radiographic findings, and arterial
blood gas analysis were included in each description. After reading
each scenario, subjects were told that noninvasive tests for PCP
infection were unavailable and were asked a number of questions about
the patient's clinical situation, including whether they thought
bronchoscopy was indicated. The first scenario described an outpatient
with an indolent process, cough, and infiltrates, and subjects were
asked to choose either diagnostic bronchoscopy or empiric treatment
with an appropriate antibiotic (trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole
double-strength, two pills, three times each day).
The second scenario was a multipart case history. Section 1 (shown in ) of the scenario described a patient 3 days after admission to the ICU for respiratory failure. After this section, subjects were asked, on a five-point Likert scale, their preference for bronchoscopy. Section 2 of this latter scenario focused on day 7 of ICU care, with the patient having renal insufficiency and circulatory failure.
Measures of Prognostication
The subjects were asked to estimate the likelihood that the
mildly ill patient (scenario 1) would recover to the level of health he
had before his illness and to estimate, after the first and second
parts of the second scenario, the likelihood that the severely ill
patient would survive to hospital discharge.
Professional, Demographic, and Attitudinal Variables
We combined data on the subjects from three sources: responses
to survey questions about the subject's practice setting,
reimbursement structure, and exposure to AIDS patients and critically
ill patients in the past year; demographic information about the
subject's specialty training and demographics from the AMA
master-file; and recent prescribing history for AIDS-related
therapeutics from Pharmaceutical Marketing Services Inc.
Statistical Analysis
All p values are two-sided. The five-point Likert scale
reflecting preference for bronchoscopy in scenario 2 was dichotomized
so that any response more affirmative than the neutral middle position
was judged as a preference for bronchoscopy. Physicians were
categorized as internists or family physicians based on their specialty
designation (field "BOARD CODE 1") in the AMA master file.
Physicians were characterized as less experienced if they had
written
16 prescriptions (lowest third of all physicians surveyed)
for AIDS-related therapeutics in the previous year. When asked to
estimate likelihoods of outcomes, some subjects answered with a range
(eg, 70 to 85%). The midpoint of the range was then used
for analysis.
Pearson
2 statistics were generated to judge
the effect of the subject's specialty, experience, type of
reimbursement, and patient's risk factor on the choice to perform
bronchoscopy, and to compare responders with nonresponders on
dichotomized demographic variables such as gender, specialty (internal
medicine or family medicine), and country of origin (United States or
non-United States). Estimates of survival probability and ages of
respondents and nonrespondents were compared using the Student's
t test. Predictors of preference for bronchoscopy were
combined using multiple logistic regression. Predictors of likelihoods
of positive outcomes were combined using multiple linear regression.
Statistical analyses were performed using appropriate software (STATA;
Stata Corporation; College Station, TX).
| Results |
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, 0.66).10
Preference for Bronchoscopy as a Diagnostic Aid
In the first scenario, the subjects could choose either to treat
an outpatient with empiric antibiotics for PCP or to proceed to
diagnostic fiberoptic bronchoscopy. In the second scenario, the
subjects were asked their strength of preference for bronchoscopy in a
critically ill AIDS patient with undiagnosed infiltrates. Overall, 32%
of the respondents preferred bronchoscopy over empiric antibiotics in
the first scenario; in the second scenario, 64% of respondents favored
bronchoscopy over empiric treatment.
Table 1 reflects three findings. The first is that physicians with more HIV experience were much more likely to prefer bronchoscopy in both scenarios than were those who cared for relatively few HIV-infected patients: 34% vs 26%, respectively, for the first scenario (p = 0.02); and 68% vs 55%, respectively, for the second scenario (p = 0.004). Table 1 also indicates that internists, compared with family physicians, were much more likely to favor bronchoscopy in both scenarios: 35% vs 23%, respectively, for the first scenario (p = 0.004); and 66% vs 56%, respectively, for the second scenario (p = 0.01). Physicians who reported being primarily reimbursed through fee-for-service mechanisms also were much more likely to favor bronchoscopy in both scenarios: 37% vs 27%, respectively, for the first scenario (p = 0.004); and 76% vs 53%, respectively (p < 0.001).
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Estimate of the Probability of Favorable Outcomes
As part of each scenario, subjects were asked to estimate the
probability of particular events occurring. After the scenario with the
mildly ill patient, subjects were asked to estimate the probability
that the described patient would return to his previous state of health
after his acute illness. As part of the scenario with the severely ill
patient, subjects were asked to estimate the likelihood of survival to
hospital discharge both at 3 days and at 7 days after ICU admission.
Overall, physicians estimated a (mean ± SD) 79 ± 20%
likelihood that the mildly ill patient would recover to his previous
state of health. Physicians estimated that after 3 days in the ICU, the
severely ill patient had a 45 ± 22% likelihood of survival. After 7
days, the estimated probability of survival had declined to
16 ± 14%.
Table 3 displays the differences in these estimates by HIV experience and specialty. When compared with experienced physicians, inexperienced physicians estimated a lower likelihood of full recovery for the mildly ill patient (72% vs 81%, respectively [p < 0.001]), and lower likelihoods of survival for the severely ill patient after 3 and 7 days of ICU care (40% vs 48%, respectively, after 3 ICU days [p < 0.001]; 14% vs 18%, respectively, after 7 ICU days [p = 0.01]). When compared with internists, family physicians consistently estimated lower likelihoods of good outcomes for both patients: for the first patient's chance of full recovery, 74% vs 80%, respectively (p < 0.01); for the second patient's chance of survival at each point, 40% vs 47%, respectively (p < 0.002); and 14% vs 17%, respectively (p = 0.09). In contrast, differences in reimbursement were not associated with differences in prognostication. We examined, with multiple linear regression on outcome prediction, the effects of specialty and experience. With the exception of the second prediction in scenario 2, in which the impact of being an internist on prediction was no longer statistically significant (p = 0.14), the impact of specialty and experience remained significant in all analyses (p < 0.02 for all predictors, data not shown).
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| Discussion |
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Improvements in outcomes for PCP patients have been reported during the past decade, with short-term survival rates for severely ill patients improving from 55% in the period from 1987 to 1990 to > 80% in 1996, and the short-term survival rates for mildly ill patients improving from 85% to > 95%.1 Although improved outcomes have been attributed to changes in both diagnostic strategies as well as to the use of adjunctive corticosteroids, the routine use of bronchoscopy in the diagnosis of pulmonary infiltrates in an HIV-infected patient remains controversial. There is ample evidence that bronchoscopy is an effective diagnostic tool and that AIDS patients with pulmonary infiltrates who receive bronchoscopy are more likely to receive an accurate diagnosis for their pulmonary process. On the other hand, the risks of initial empiric therapy, especially among less severely ill individuals, appear to be low, raising questions about both the optimal initial approach to care and the cost-effectiveness of bronchoscopy.11 12 13 14 15 16 17 We are not aware of any authors who recommend empiric therapy for critically ill patients. Consistent with this reasoning, preferences for the use of diagnostic bronchoscopy were higher for the scenario with the severely ill patient. About one third of physicians with higher HIV experience and 26% of those with lower HIV experience supported the use of a diagnostic bronchoscopy for the mildly ill patient, whereas more than two thirds of the higher HIV-experience physicians and 55% of lower HIV-experience physicians supported this approach for a severely ill patient.
Early in the AIDS epidemic, it was believed that HIV care could be effectively delivered by any primary care provider.18 Although the early studies showed that hospitalized patients received better HIV care and had better survival rates when treated at hospitals with higher levels of experience, the patterns and intensity of resource use did not differ from those at lower-experience facilities.3 19 It was believed by some that high-experience hospitals provided care for less severely ill patients and may not have provided better HIV care.2 18 As the complexity of AIDS increased, a study published in 1996 demonstrated that survival with HIV disease was significantly better in patients whose physicians had experience in HIV care and were able to provide appropriate outpatient antiretroviral therapies and prophylaxis for PCP and other severe opportunistic infections.6 This finding, coupled with the rapidly growing number of new therapeutic drugs, has changed the paradigm such that it is now recommended that HIV or AIDS primary care be received from experienced providers.20 21
Because AIDS is a relatively new disease for which no formal subspecialty board examinations have been instituted, physicians who provide care for HIV-infected individuals vary in their prior training experiences. After reports that HIV infection was a generalist illness, physicians with broad training backgrounds developed active practices for the care of HIV-infected individuals.18 In this study, we found that general internists and infectious disease specialists appeared to systematically differ from family physicians in their approach to HIV-related PCP care. Consistent with the finding by Curtis et al22 with a simulated patient, the internists and infectious disease specialists were more likely than family physicians to pursue diagnostic confirmation of PCP as an alternative to initiating empiric treatment.
Interestingly, the internists and experienced providers also predicted likelihoods of favorable outcomes higher than those of family physicians and physicians with low HIV experience. Paauw et al23 and Turner et al7 have found similar results in evaluating variations in care for HIV-infected individualsgeneralists are likely to provide a lower quality of care. Not surprising is our finding that physicians reimbursed under fee-for-service systems were more likely to advocate bronchoscopy but demonstrated no differences from their peers about the expectation of outcome, adding evidence to the argument advanced by others that this incentive operates independently of other factors.8
This study has several limitations. First, our results reflect physicians' attitudes about hypothetical clinical situations and may not accurately reflect true clinical practice. We attempted to control for the large variations in clinical presentations of individuals with HIV-related PCP by varying the risk-group description to include IV drug users, homosexual and bisexual men, and persons with transfusion-acquired AIDS and by including scenarios of both mildly ill and severely ill patients. However, we found that none of these variations consistently affected our results. Second, although we found no meaningful evidence that our 785 responders do not represent our entire sample of 1,500, and a response rate of 53% is consistent with other published surveys of physicians,24 it is possible that some results do not represent the attitudes of the entire pool of physicians. Third, we queried physicians whom we identified through their prescription-writing patterns and may have missed physicians, such as intensivists, hospitalists, and physicians who attend on dedicated AIDS units, whose practices meaningfully influence the care of patients with AIDS in the United States.
Despite these limitations, our results support the growing body of literature that identifies differences in AIDS care and outcome according to the HIV experience level of individual physicians. Recently, the complexity of HIV care has increased dramatically with the development of highly active antiretroviral therapies, widespread use of prophylactic treatments for PCP and atypical mycobacterial infections, and many new treatments for serious opportunistic infections. In conjunction with the findings of others, our study suggests a mechanism by which outcomes for HIV-infected individuals improve when they are cared for by physicians with a high degree of experience with AIDSmore experienced providers are more optimistic about outcomes and are more aggressive in pursuing diagnostic confirmation of a possible opportunistic infection.
| Appendix A |
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| Appendix B |
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Arterial blood gases: fraction of inspired oxygen, 50%; pH, 7.41; PCO2, 35 mm Hg; PaO2, 74 mm Hg.
Chest radiograph: left apical cavitary lesion, diffuse bilateral fluffy infiltrates.
CD4 count: 25 cells/µL.
Respiratory rate: 35 breaths/min.
Suction catheter sputum: mixed Gram-negative organisms; no P carinii.
John should have a bronchoscopy in the next 24 h (please circle one):
Strongly disagree
Somewhat disagree
Neither agree nor disagree
Somewhat agree
Strongly agree
| Footnotes |
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Abbreviations: AMA = American Medical Association; OR = odds ratio; PCP = Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia
Received for publication October 8, 1998. Accepted for publication January 12, 1999.
| References |
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This article has been cited by other articles:
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J. M. BECK, M. J. ROSEN, and H. H. PEAVY Pulmonary Complications of HIV Infection . Report of the Fourth NHLBI Workshop Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., December 1, 2001; 164(11): 2120 - 2126. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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