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(Chest. 2000;117:314-320.)
© 2000 American College of Chest Physicians

Left Ventricular Thrombus and Subsequent Thromboembolism in Patients With Severe Systolic Dysfunction*

Nagaraja D. Sharma, MD; Peter A. McCullough, MD, MPH; Edward F. Philbin, MD and W. Douglas Weaver, MD

* From the Henry Ford Heart and Vascular Institute, Henry Ford Health System, Detroit, MI.

Correspondence to: Peter A. McCullough, MD, MPH, Henry Ford Health System, Henry Ford Heart and Vascular Institute, 6525 Second Ave, Detroit, MI 48202; e-mail: pmc{at}mich.com


    Abstract
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Materials and Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 References
 
Study objectives: To determine the frequency of left ventricular (LV) thrombi by echocardiography and to define the predictors of LV thrombus and subsequent thromboembolism.

Design: Retrospective case-control design.

Setting: Single tertiary care center.

Patients: Twenty-eight patients with LV thrombus in a consecutive series of 144 patients with severe LV dysfunction and follow-up period for a mean of 27.6 months.

Measurements and results: Thirty-five clinical and echocardiographic variables were evaluated. The mean age of patients with (n = 28) vs patients without (n = 116) LV thrombus was 50.3 ± 11.0 years vs 54.2 ± 11.1 years (p = 0.09), with 22 patients (78.6%) and 78 patients (67.2%) being male (p = 0.24), respectively. The mean ejection fraction (EF) for those with vs those without LV thrombus was 17.5 ± 5.5 vs 20.0 ± 6.9 (p = 0.08), with 16 patients (57.1%) and 42 patients (36.2%) having an EF < 20% (p = 0.04), respectively. The groups were similar with respect to other baseline characteristics, comorbid illnesses, and drug therapies other than anticoagulants. All 28 patients with LV thrombus (100%) and 54 of those without LV thrombus (46.6%) were treated with warfarin. Ischemic etiology of the cardiomyopathy (odds ratio, 4.78; 95% confidence interval, 1.51 to 15.11; p = 0.008) and increased LV internal diastolic dimension (LVIDD; odds ratio, 1.10; 95% confidence interval, 1.03 to 1.18; p = 0.004) were found to be independent predictors of thrombus formation. Peripheral embolism occurred in 5 patients (17.9%) vs 13 patients (11.2%) of those with and without LV thrombi, respectively (p = 0.35). Ischemic etiology of the cardiomyopathy (odds ratio, 3.79; 95% confidence interval, 1.13 to 12.64; p = 0.03) and EF (odds ratio, 0.91; 95% confidence interval, 0.82 to 1.00; p = 0.04) were found to be independent predictors of systemic embolization. The patients with an embolic event suffered a significantly higher mortality (7 of 18 patients; 38.9%) during the follow-up period when compared to those without an embolic event (13 of 126 patients; 10.3%; p < 0.0001).

Conclusions: We conclude that ischemic cardiomyopathy and dilated LV chamber sizes (LVIDD > 60 mm) are independently associated with LV thrombi. A peripheral embolic event is related to poor long-term survival in this patient group.

Key Words: congestive heart failure • left ventricular thrombus • systemic embolism


    Introduction
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Materials and Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 References
 
Congestive heart failure (CHF) is a major public health problem affecting > 3 million people in the United States.1 There is limited information in the medical literature that addresses the risks of thromboembolism among patients with severe left ventricular (LV) dysfunction.2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 The need to develop preventive and therapeutic evidence-based approaches for chronic anticoagulation in these patients is apparent.

In this study, we sought to do the following: (1) identify the prevalence of LV thrombus by two-dimensional echocardiography among patients undergoing evaluation for heart transplant; (2) describe the characteristics of patients with LV thrombus; (3) determine the predictors of thromboembolic events; and (4) compare the survival for those with and without LV thrombus and thromboembolism during the follow-up period.


    Materials and Methods
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Materials and Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 References
 
Study Patients
We reviewed the records of 144 consecutive patients who were evaluated in the CHF and transplantation program at Henry Ford Hospital from 1991 to 1996 with follow-up available for a mean of 27.6 months. Patients who had LV thrombus (n = 28) formed the cases, and those who did not have LV thrombus (n = 116) formed the control group. Patients with prosthetic valves and/or an ejection fraction (EF) > 35% were excluded. Comprehensive histories, physical examinations, laboratory investigations, and two-dimensional echocardiograms were performed on all patients during the initial evaluation and subsequent regular follow-up every 3 to 6 months. Ischemic etiology of cardiomyopathy was defined by the presence of significant epicardial coronary artery disease, confirmed by coronary angiography. The initial echocardiograms were reviewed by an experienced echocardiographer who was masked to subsequent clinical outcomes. Thrombus was defined by the presence of a distinct echogenic mass, identified in at least two different views and associated with regional or global wall-motion abnormality. The decision regarding anticoagulation was left to the discretion of the attending physician. A cerebrovascular accident was diagnosed by the clinical evidence of acute stroke, confirmed by neurologic consultation. In all cases of stroke, intracranial bleeding was excluded by brain imaging with CT or MRI. The occurrence of peripheral arterial embolization was diagnosed by the development of acute extremity arterial occlusion, with confirmation by angiography or findings at the time of vascular surgery or autopsy. All patients were followed up in the Henry Ford Congestive Heart Failure (CHF) and Transplant Clinic through the study period, and no patients were lost to follow-up.

Statistical Analysis
Univariate statistics including baseline characteristics are reported in means ± SD and proportions with 95% confidence intervals as appropriate. Comparisons are made using analysis of variance or the Kruskal-Wallis H test for continuous variables and {chi}2 or Fisher’s Exact Test for dichotomous variables. Odds ratios are reported with 95% confidence intervals. Multiple logistic regression was used to evaluate the independent predictors of LV thrombus formation and subsequent thromboembolism. Results from the logistic regression models are reported with the ß-coefficient for each significant predictor and the Wald statistic (ß-coefficient/SE), which indicates the relative importance of the predictor in the model. All models were tested for interaction terms. The variables of aspirin use, warfarin use, LV thrombus, and left atrial thrombus were excluded because of multicollinearity (ie, all patients with LV thrombus were taking warfarin). The predictive model for LV thrombus was then used to generate the probability of LV thrombus given a clinical scenario, with ischemic vs nonischemic etiology and LV internal diastolic dimension (LVIDD) being the modifiable variables. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method with the log rank statistic for differences between groups. The Cox model with adjustment for covariates was not used because of sparse data and the small number of absolute events over time. All hypothesis testing was two-tailed, and p < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.


    Results
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Materials and Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 References
 
Baseline Characteristics
Baseline characteristics were similar for patients with and without LV thrombi, as shown in Table 1 . Ischemic cardiomyopathy and history of prior myocardial infarction were more frequent in patients with LV thrombus, whereas nonischemic cardiomyopathy was more common in patients without LV thrombus. No patient had a prior diagnosis of stroke or peripheral embolic event. Medication use was similar among the groups, with the exception of warfarin, as shown in Table 2 . Of note, all 28 of the patients were prescribed warfarin, and 5 of 28 (17.9%) were taking aspirin and warfarin together at the time of echocardiographic evaluation. Echocardiographic variables are given in Table 3 . The frequency distribution of LVIDD among all patients is shown in Figure 1 .


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Table 1.. Baseline Characteristics*

 

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Table 2.. Medication- and Anticoagulation-Related Variables*

 

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Table 3.. Echocardiographic Factors*

 


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Figure 1.. Frequency histogram of LVIDD decile (n = 144; includes patients with and without LV thrombus).

 
Patients with LV thrombi had larger LV chamber sizes with LVIDD measurements than patients without LV thrombus (74.0 ± 7.7 mm vs 66.4 ± 9.9 mm; p = 0.0005) in addition to more frequently anteroapical aneurysms (14.3% vs 3.5%; p = 0.05) and a demonstrated trend toward lower EF (17.5 ± 5.5% vs 20.0 ± 6.9%; p = 0.07), respectively.

Embolic Events and Survival
Systemic arterial embolism occurred in a total of 18 patients (12.5%; Table 4 ). These events occurred in 5 patients (17.9%) vs 13 patients (11.2%) with and without visualized LV thrombi, respectively (p = 0.34). Figure 2 shows the distribution of embolic events by LVIDD decile. Two of the 18 patients were taking aspirin and warfarin, 10 were taking warfarin alone, and 6 were taking aspirin alone. The aspirin and warfarin prescriptions were made by referring physicians, presumably based on clinical grounds and echocardiograms, prior to referral to our center for cardiac transplantation evaluation. Of these 18 patients, 10 patients (55.6%) subsequently had transplant or death during the follow-up period, compared to 20 of 126 (15.9%) in those without an embolic event (p = 0.001). Also, heart transplantation occurred in 3 of 18 patients (16.7%) with an embolic event vs 7 of 126 patients (5.6%) without an embolic event (p = 0.11), whereas death occurred in 7 of 18 patients (38.9%) with an embolic event vs 14 of 126 patients (11.1%) of those without an embolic event (p = 0.004), during follow-up.


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Table 4.. Outcomes in Patients With and Without LV Thrombi Over a Mean Follow-up Period of 27.6 ± 14.9 Months*

 


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Figure 2.. Embolic events during the follow-up period by LVIDD decile (n = 144; includes patients with and without LV thrombus).

 
The mean follow-up periods were 22.9 ± 10.8 months and 28.7 ± 15.6 months for patients with and without LV thrombi, respectively (p = 0.06). Cardiac transplantation or death occurred in 7 patients (25.0%) and 23 control subjects (19.8%; p = 0.61). Kaplan-Meier analysis, shown in Figure 3 , revealed no difference in freedom from transplant or death between patients with and without LV thrombi (p = 0.35 by log rank). However, when stratified by the occurrence of stroke or peripheral embolic event during the follow up, patients with embolic events had significantly worsened freedom from death or transplant (p < 0.0001 by log rank; Fig 4 ). None of the embolic events were listed as the primary cause of death.



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Figure 3.. Survival analysis for the end point of transplant or death in the follow-up period stratified by the presence of LV thrombi. Hashed lines represent patients with LV thrombus (cases), and solid lines represent patients without LV thrombus (control subjects; p = 0.35 by log rank).

 


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Figure 4.. Survival analysis for the end point of transplant or death in the follow-up period stratified by the occurrence of stroke or peripheral embolic event during the follow-up period. Hashed lines represent patients with stroke or embolic event, and solid lines represent patients without stroke or embolic event (p < 0.0001 by log rank).

 
Associations With LV Thrombus
Multiple logistic regression for the outcome of LV thrombus (Table 5 ) revealed that an ischemic etiology (odds ratio, 4.78; 95% confidence interval, 1.51 to 15.11; p = 0.008) and LV chamber size (LVIDD millimeter unit increment above the referent; odds ratio, 1.10; 95% confidence interval, 1.03 to 1.18; p = 0.004) were independent risk factors. There was a trend toward significance in the association between apical aneurysm and the presence of LV thrombus. However, age was found to be an independent negative predictor for the outcome of LV thrombus. The model could not adjust for aspirin and warfarin use due to multicollinearity. Factors that were found not to be independently associated with LV thrombus included gender, functional class, atrial fibrillation, mitral regurgitation (MR), and measured EF. No LV thrombi were found in patients with LVIDD chamber dimensions < 60 mm. There was a graded relationship between the predicted probability LV thrombi and the LVIDD irrespective of the etiology of cardiomyopathy, as shown in Figure 5 .


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Table 5.. Multivariate Predictors of LV Thrombus by Logistic Regression*

 


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Figure 5.. Predicted probability of LV thrombus by etiology of cardiomyopathy and LVIDD.

 
Systemic Thromboembolism
Multiple logistic regression for the outcome of systemic embolization (Table 6 ) revealed that an ischemic etiology (odds ratio, 3.79; 95% confidence interval, 1.13 to 12.64; p = 0.03) and lower EF (odds ratio, 0.91; 95% confidence interval 0.82 to 1.00; p = 0.04) to be an independent risk factors. There was a trend toward significance in the association between increasing chamber size and peripheral thromboembolism irrespective of the presence or absence of LV thrombus, as shown in Figure 2 . Only 4% of patients with LVIDD < 60 mm had systemic embolism when compared to 14.3% of those with LVIDD > 60 mm (p < 0.05).


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Table 6.. Multivariate Predictors of Systemic Embolization by Logistic Regression*

 

    Discussion
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Materials and Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 References
 
The incidence of LV thrombus in patients with end-stage cardiomyopathy was 19.4%, similar to rates of 11 to 44% published in the literature.11 13 14 A poorly contracting ventricle allows blood stasis, which can lead to thrombus formation and subsequent embolization. The annual risk of systemic embolization in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy is 1.4 to 12.0%.2 15 Mobile and protruding thrombi are thought to carry the highest risk.16 Anticoagulation may reduce the chance of embolic events, but there is controversy about the necessity of routine anticoagulation in all patients with dilated cardiomyopathy.17 Several case-control studies and small prospective cohorts have produced mixed results and recommendations regarding the use of chronic anticoagulation in these patients.11 15 18 19 20 21

Most of the studies that have examined the incidence of LV thrombus and thromboembolism in dilated cardiomyopathy involved small numbers of patients. Earlier autopsy studies reported a very high frequency of thromboembolic events, ranging from 37 to 50%.14 22 Fuster et al,11 in a retrospective study of 104 patients with nonischemic dilated cardiomyopathy, reported an 18% frequency of thromboembolic events in patients not taking warfarin and an incidence of four clinically apparent events per 100 patient-years. More recent studies reported a lower incidence of thromboembolic events ranging from 1.7/100 to 3.2/100 patient-years in patients with severe LV dysfunction.19 21

In the Vasodilators in Heart Failure Trial, the incidence of thromboembolism was 2.5/100 patient-years and did not differ between patients receiving anticoagulation and those not receiving anticoagulation.23 Ciaccheri et al15 , found an 11% prevalence of LV thrombus in patients with nonischemic dilated cardiomyopathy, with no relation between the presence of intracavitary thrombus and systemic embolization. In the Survival and Ventricular Enlargement Trial, the incidence of stroke was 1.5/100 patient-years and the risk was higher in older patients with lower EF.10 24 In the Studies of Left Ventricular Dysfunction Trial, the results were similar, except for the fact that women were found to be at increased risk for thromboembolic events when compared to men.25

We found that LVIDD and ischemic cardiomyopathy were independent predictors of LV thrombus formation. None of the patients with LVIDD < 60 mm demonstrated LV thrombus. There was a consistent, graded relationship between increasing chamber size and the presence of LV thrombus. Also, the risk of LV thrombus was higher in patients with apical aneurysm. Age was found to be an independent negative predictor for the outcome of LV thrombus. This finding may in part be secondary to the relatively young age of the cases when compared to the control group (ie, the patients studied were not age matched). There was no significant association between LV thrombus and MR. Kalaria et al26 have reported an inverse relationship between severity of MR and the formation of LV thrombus. However, that report did not control for aspirin use and did not report any association between LV chamber size and LV thrombus.

In our study, an ischemic etiology and lower EF were both independent predictors of systemic embolism in patients with and without LV thrombi. This supports the concept that these predictors are operative in patients in whom an LV thrombus cannot yet be identified. These findings are consistent with subgroup analysis from the Survival and Ventricular Enlargement Trial, in that patients with lower EF were reported to have higher rates of subsequent stroke during follow-up.10 24 There was a trend toward significance in the association between increasing chamber size and peripheral thromboembolism irrespective of the presence or absence of LV thrombus. Overall, 4% of patients with LVIDD < 60 mm suffered a peripheral embolic event compared to 14.3% of patients with LVIDD > 60 mm.

We found that patients with an embolic event (12.5% over 27.6 months) suffered a significantly higher mortality (38.9%) during follow-up when compared to those without an embolic event (10.3%). In addition, the occurrence of an embolic event, rather than the echocardiographic finding of LV thrombus, had an important bearing on survival (freedom from death or cardiac transplant). This implies that any anticoagulant therapy, if it is to impact on survival, probably should be given preemptively, before the appearance of a thrombus on echocardiography.

We acknowledge the limitations of this study in its retrospective, case-control design that cannot control for unmeasured confounders. The magnitude of the measures of association, including the multivariate odds ratios for ischemic cardiomyopathy and LVIDD, make it extremely unlikely that these associations are spurious, despite the case-control design. Ideally, serial echocardiography and a protocol for anticoagulation with aspirin or warfarin would have provided additional inferences with respect to the temporal development of visualized thrombi and possibly the effect of warfarin. We expect these inferences will be more appropriately made in future randomized trials of anticoagulation in cardiomyopathy patients.

In summary, patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy, dilated LV chamber size (LVIDD > 60 mm), lower EF, and apical aneurysm appear to be at particularly high risk for LV thrombus formation and subsequent thromboembolism. In addition, the occurrence of an embolic event is associated with worsened long-term survival. The small size of our series and wide confidence intervals around point estimates, however, call for confirmatory studies.


    Acknowledgements
 
We are indebted to Arlene Levine, MD, T. Barry Levine, MD, and Suzanne L. Havstad, MA, for participation in data collection and management. We would also like to express gratitude to Keisha R. Marks, BS, who assisted in the final preparation of this manuscript. Finally, we are indebted to Paul D. Stein, MD, who provided critical review of the article.


    Footnotes
 
Abbreviations: CHF = congestive heart failure; EF = ejection fraction; LV = left ventricular; LVIDD = LV internal diastolic dimension; MR = mitral regurgitation

Presented in part at the 47th Annual Scientific Session of the American College of Cardiology, Atlanta, GA, March 29, 1998.

Received for publication March 22, 1999. Accepted for publication July 15, 1999.


    References
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Materials and Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 References
 

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