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* From the Department of Medicine and Pediatrics (Drs. Goldstein, Dunsky, Dvorin, Belecanech, and Haralabatos), Allergy and Immunology Division, and the Interdepartmental Medical Science Program (Ms. Veza); MCP Hahnemann University, Philadelphia, PA.
Correspondence to: Marc F. Goldstein, MD, FCCP, Professional Arts Building, Suite 300, 205 N. Broad St, Philadelphia, PA 19107; e-mail: gpike35{at}aol.com
| Abstract |
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Design: Participants were asked to record peak expiratory flow four times daily for 2 to 3 weeks, followed by an MIC. During a minimum 6-month follow-up period, a clinical diagnosis of asthma was made or ruled out based on testing results and response to antiasthma therapy.
Setting: Medical school-affiliated subspecialty private practice of allergy, asthma, and immunology.
Participants: One hundred twenty-one suspected asthmatic patients with normal findings on lung examination, chest radiography, and baseline spirometry.
Measurements and results: Fifty-seven subjects completed both the peak flow diary and the MIC and were accepted for statistical analysis. There were no statistically significant correlations between any peak expiratory flow index and MIC. Among the three diagnostic tools evaluated, MIC had the highest sensitivity (85.71%). All the PEFvar indexes and post-BD responses had low sensitivity and high false-negative rates.
Conclusions: PEFvar and post-BD FEV1 responses are poor substitutes for MIC in the assessment of patients with suspected asthma with normal findings on lung examination, chest radiography, and spirometry. Our findings warrant a reconsideration of the NHLBI guidelines recommendation of the utility of PEFvar as a diagnostic tool for asthma in clinical practice.
Key Words: diurnal variation methacholine challenge peak expiratory flow variation postbronchodilator FEV1 responses
| Introduction |
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| Materials and Methods |
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80%, mean
forced expiratory flow during the middle half of the FVC
(FEF2575%) percent-predicted value of
80%, and FVC percent-predicted value of
80%. Individuals with
a history of heart failure, lung cancer, abnormal spirometry findings,
abnormal chest radiography findings, abnormal lung examination
findings, and/or evidence of acute respiratory tract infection were
excluded from participation. Other than symptomatic cough suppressants
and/or medications directed at upper respiratory tract symptoms
(ie, antihistamines, decongestants, and nasal steroids),
subjects were not receiving any prescriptions or over-the-counter
medications or alternative remedies for respiratory symptoms.
Participants had conventional wake/sleep patterns.
Pulmonary Function Tests and PEF Monitoring
A spirometer (Flowmate; Spirometrics; Auburn, ME),
meeting American Thoracic Society (ATS) standards, was used and
calibrated daily using a 3-L syringe.32
Recommendations
made by the ATS for performing forced expiratory maneuvers were
followed.32
Trained office nurses performed the pulmonary
function tests (PFTs) on all participants, and a physician reviewed all
calibrations and PFT results. Three forced expiratory maneuvers were
performed with the subject in a standing position, with the best
FEV1 result of three recorded. The PFT data were
expressed in absolute terms and as a percentage of predicted normal
values.11
33
Participants were instructed/trained on the
proper use of a peak flowmeter (Personal Best; HealthScan Products;
Cedar Grove, NJ) meeting ATS recommendations for peak flow
devices.32
A baseline PEF was established from the best of
three pre-BD maneuvers.7
All participants in the study
used the same Personal Best peak flowmeter model and were instructed on
proper technique and diary recording of the best of three maneuvers.
Each participant used the same peak flowmeter to measure his/her PEF
values throughout the study. Patients were instructed and evaluated on
the proper use of the BD device (Maxair Autohaler; Pharmaceuticals; St.
Paul, MN). Fifteen to 20 min after two puffs of the BD,
triplicate PFT readings were taken and the highest of three
FEV1 readings was recorded. The percentage change
in FEV1 was calculated as follows:
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12% increase in post-BD FEV1
was considered indicative of significant reversibility.32 Participants were asked to measure their PEF four times each day: between 6 AM and 9 AM pre-BD, between 12 noon and 2 PM pre-BD followed by two puffs of BD, between 12:30 PM and 2:30 PM 30 min post-BD, and between 6 PM and 9 PM pre-BD for the next 2 to 3 weeks. All subjects were asked to perform three peak flow measurements for each time period and to record the highest PEF value of the three readings, consistent with ATS recommendations.32 Subjects also recorded the actual time that the readings were taken and any additional BD inhalations used. Participants were instructed to leave blank any scheduled recordings that were not performed. Participants were given a peak flowmeter, printed instructions on use and care of the peak flowmeter, and a peak flow diary for charting. Patients were requested to bring their peak flow diaries to their next visit. Additional reminders were printed on the instruction sheet and on the diary. An MIC was scheduled 3 to 4 weeks after the initial visit.
MIC
The study protocol for MIC closely followed recommendations made
by the Canadian Thoracic Society,34
Rijcken et
al,35
and as previously reported by our
group.36
A spirometry system (model 2200; Sensormedics;
Yorba Linda, CA) and a variable-pressure, constant-volume body
plethysmograph (model 6200; Sensormedics) were used. Changes in
FEV1, FEF2575%, and FVC
were recorded 30 s and 90 s after each inhalation dose. The
same technician performed the MIC for all the participants. A positive
response was defined as a
20% fall in FEV1
at
8 mg/mL of methacholine. The 8-mg/mL cutoff was chosen based on
earlier observations.35
36
Informed consent was obtained from all participants. Participants were offered no honorarium.
Data Analysis
A validity check of the PEF readings obtained with the peak
flowmeter at the initial visit was made by comparing the two PEF
readings obtained with spirometry.7
The percentage of
variation between the two readings was calculated as follows:
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Data from the most complete 14 days of the 21-day peak flow
monitoring period were analyzed. Only diaries with a minimum of four
complete morning and post-BD afternoon readings were used in our study,
consistent with a previous study.8
The first 3 days of the
PEF monitoring period were not included in the data analysis to
eliminate spurious low values secondary to a "learning
effect."8
The percentage of compliance of peak flow
measurements/recordings was assessed by the following equation:
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12%, and MIC responses with each other. A significance level of
p = 0.050 was used. A physician-based diagnosis of asthma was made based on asthma-like chest symptoms, physical examination findings, response to methacholine, response to treatment over time with BD and/or anti-inflammatory treatment, and serial spirometry findings.1 38 The numbers of true-positive, true-negative, false-positive, and false-negative test results were calculated for MIC, for post-BD FEV1 response, and for each mean daily and period PEFvar index. The best mean daily and period PEFvar indexes were identified as those with the best correlation coefficient with MICs. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of the best mean daily and period PEFvar, post-BD FEV1 response, and MIC were determined. The formulas used for these calculations are shown.
Sensitivity:
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| Results |
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The range and mean (± 1 SD) of the post-BD response in
FEV1 was - 10 to 18.37% and 3.41 ± 4.87%,
respectively. Only 3 of the 57 subjects (5.23%) had post-BD
FEV1 responses
12%. The calculated PEF
internal validity check between baseline PEF by peak flowmeter vs PEF
by baseline spirometry ranged from - 20.63 to 32.08% (mean [± 1
SD], 2.31 ± 12.51%). The range and mean (± 1 SD) of the absolute
variation was - 104 to 102 L/min and 4.10 ± 49.04 L/min,
respectively.
There were no statistically significant correlations between any of the PEFvar indexes with MICs. The period indexes, highest amplitude percentage low (amp%low) (index 12) and two-highest average (index 28), trended toward significance (index 12, r = 0.26, p = 0.052; index 28, r = 0.25, p = 0.056). The best mean daily index was mean amp%low (index 11), which did not have a statistically significant correlation with MIC (r = 0.17, p = 0.202).
A minimum clinical follow-up period of 6 months post-MIC (range, 6 to 9
months; mean [± 1 SD], 6.61 ± 0.90 months) was performed on all
patients,
which included serial assessment of symptoms, physical examination,
evaluation of response to medication, and spirometry. The establishment
of a physician-based diagnosis of asthma was made based on these
parameters. There were no patients who acutely presented in follow-up
requiring urgent BD treatment. There were seven patients who had
false-negative MIC results, and there were no false-positive MIC
results. The number of true-positive, true-negative, false-positive,
false-negative test results for MICs, post-BD
FEV1 responses, and the best (correlation with
positive MIC) mean daily index (mean amp%low, index 11) and best
period PEFvar index (highest amp%low, index 12) are shown in Table 2
. Regarding MICs, there were 41 true-positive, 9 true-negative, 0
false-positive, and 7 false-negative test results. Of the seven
subjects with false-negative MIC results, all had significant drops of
25% in FEF2575% during the MIC at
8
mg/mL, suggesting the presence of airways hyperactivity as previously
reported by our group.36
Of the post-BD
FEV1 responses, there were 3 true-positive, 9
true-negative, 0 false-positive, and 45 false-negative test results
(Table 2)
. Period indexes produced more true-positive test results
(range, 8 to 40; mean [± 1 SD], 27.00 ± 9.47) compared to the
mean daily indexes (range, 0 to 2; mean [± 1 SD], 1.17 ± 1.40).
The period PEFvar index, lowest percentage mean (lowest%mean) (index
20), had the most true-positive test results, but also had the
highest number of false-positive test results (data not shown). The
most sensitive index was lowest%mean (index 20). The specificity of
all the mean daily PEFvar indexes was 100% because there were no
false-negative test results. Specificity of the period PEFvar indexes
ranged from 0 to 93.33% (mean [± 1 SD], 36.83 ± 33.36%) with
amp%low of means (index 8) having the best specificity. Of the three
diagnostic tests, the MIC was the most sensitive test (85.71%) and had
the best negative predictive value. MIC shared maximal specificity and
positive predictive value with post-BD FEV1
responses and the best mean daily PEFvar index (mean amp%low, index
11; Table 2
).
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| Discussion |
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Despite overlaps in PEFvar in asthmatic and healthy populations and the
lack of standardization of the PEFvar monitoring and its numerical
expression, PEFvar has been widely advocated and used in clinical
practice and asthma research.17
31
42
The NHLBI and
others2
7
16
have recommended a
20% PEF diurnal
variation as a diagnostic benchmark for asthma. The NHLBI
guidelines7
also recommend that PEF monitoring for
diagnostic purposes be done twice daily for 1 to 2 weeks,
ie, on first morning awakening pre-BD and afternoon (between
noon and 2 PM post-BD). These recommendations are
based on data reported by Enright et al1
and Quackenboss
et al.8
For diagnostic and epidemiologic purposes, Enright
et al1
recommended 4 to 7 days of monitoring, although
clinical support for this approach was not provided. Quackenboss et
al8
recommended that the peak flow variation be calculated
using maximum PEF values corresponding to the noon or evening readings
and the minimum PEF values corresponding to the morning or bedtime
readings. It was not clearly stated that these were all pre-BD values.
Based on these limited data, the NHLBI recommends using pre-BD morning
and post-BD afternoon recordings as the standard for PEFvar
measurements. Unfortunately, the NHLBI guidelines also fail to clearly
specify the numerical expression of peak flow variability. That is, it
is clear that the difference between the afternoon post-BD value and
the morning pre-BD value serves as the numerator of the index, but the
denominator is not defined. In our study, using 4 different
denominators for the PEFvar calculations consistent with NHLBI
recommendations as well as 24 other PEFvar indexes, we were unable to
identify a reliable index of PEFvar that could accurately correlate
with a diagnosis of asthma.
In addition, there are some concerns about the NHLBI recommendation for 2 weeks of PEFvar monitoring, because the best length of monitoring to maximize variability and compliance has not been identified. It seems apparent that a longer period may provide more opportunities for exogenous exposures to trigger variability; however, compliance may wane. A shorter period may give more rapid results and improve compliance, but decreases the likelihood of adequate high-variability days being detected. Furthermore, there is no universal agreement as to whether to use both pre-BD and post-BD measurements, because BD measurements reflect two variables: diurnal variation and response to BD treatment.20
In our study, there was poor correlation of all PEFvar indexes with MIC regardless of whether pre-BD values, pre-BD and post-BD values, daily mean, or period PEFvar measurements were used. This is consistent with other studies10 22 23 29 37 41 that have failed to identify one PEFvar index that consistently discriminates between asthmatics and healthy subjects or distinguishes itself among many indexes applied to the same individual. None of the 28 indexes had statistically significant correlation with MIC.
Several other concerns have been raised concerning the usefulness of PEF measurements. The accuracy of PEFvar as recommended by the NHLBI should be checked against spirometrically determined PEFs. PEF meters have been reported to produce results that are inaccurate by up to 30%.43 In our study, the mean (± 1 SD) internal validity was 2.72 ± 12.23%, with a range from - 20.40 to 32.08% and a mean (± 1 SD) bias of 6.0 ± 47.28 L/min, higher in the peak flowmeter readings.
Subject compliance is another major concern in PEF monitoring. Many studies9 10 14 17 assume that the technique demonstrated in the office is precisely followed at home. The intensity of effort and accuracy of readings/recordings at home are serious potential sources of error in home peak flow monitoring. Over time, peak flow monitoring and record keeping may become unrewarding, time-consuming, or anxiety provoking,43 especially when participants feel well, and may have a negative impact on compliance. We found that compliance with measurements four-times daily for 2 to 3 weeks may be unachievable for most patients. There was no difference in compliance rates between children 7 to 18 years old and adults > 18 years old. In contrast, compliance with performing a requested MIC (66.12%) was higher among all age groups compared to compliance with peak flow monitoring (50.41%). There was a statistically significant difference between the number of completed MICs and the number of acceptable diary completions (p = 0.012, two-sided Z statistic). That is, there were significantly more patients who completed a one-time MIC than maintained an acceptable PEF diary over a 2- to 3-week period.
Therefore, issues regarding compliance, accuracy, and reliability of PEF readings, length of monitoring, method of calculation, timing of BD administration (if used), overlap of healthy with asthmatic PEFvar, and questions regarding invented measurements raise serious concerns about the usefulness of PEFvar as a diagnostic tool for asthma.
Comparative Analyses
Although MIC and PEFvar assess bronchial lability, they are
obtained in different ways (bronchoconstriction challenge vs
spontaneous variation in airways caliber because of circadian rhythms
and natural exposure) and are likely to reflect different aspects of
airway lability. PEF diurnal variation has the advantage of allowing
more measurements of airways lability over a period of time. Several
clinical and epidemiologic studies6
12
14
17
19
20
have
looked at PEF diurnal variation as to whether it correlates with
histamine or MIC; across these studies, there is no uniform method
of calculating PEF diurnal variation, and the study populations are not
comparable. Nevertheless, the correlation of diurnal PEF variation
with methacholine or histamine challenge has been reported in various
subgroups of patients.6
12
14
15
17
20
22
23
37
Many of
these studies14
17
20
22
23
were conducted in patients
with confirmed obstructive airways disease, where a correlation of
PEFvar with a positive MIC may be less relevant diagnostically than in
those without an established diagnosis. In our study, in patients
without an established diagnosis of asthma, relying on PEFvar as the
sole diagnostic test for asthma would have resulted in missing the
diagnosis of asthma in as many as 42 cases (74%). This high number of
false-negative PEFvar measurements is consistent with the conclusions
of a recent large population study44
from Switzerland that
demonstrated the unreliability of 3 weeks of PEFvar (amplitude
percentage mean [amp%mean]) measurements (twice daily), as
well as poor sensitivity (36%) and poor positive predictive value
(16.4%) in the diagnosis of asthma. In our study, we observed no
statistically significant correlation between PEFvar and positive MIC
finding. A positive MIC finding had a greater sensitivity, specificity,
and positive and negative predictive value than the best PEFvar index
(highest amp%low; index 12).
According to the ATS, ". . . an increase in
FEV1
12%, with an absolute change
200
mL, from the baseline level, confirms that there is significant
reversibility, and together with the appropriate history, the diagnosis
of asthma."32
Inhalation of a selective BD in
conjunction with spirometry is inexpensive, usually safe, technically
easy to perform, and adds only 20 min to the evaluation. BD testing is
often helpful in comparing and assessing therapeutic effectiveness.
Pre-BD and post-BD FEV1 measurements have been
compared to PEF diurnal variation in a limited number of
studies.12
14
15
29
45
Those
studies12
19
29
45
with subjects having moderate-to-severe
airways obstruction showed correlation of PEFvar with post-BD
FEV1 responses, whereas in a population with mild
asthma, no correlation was observed.14
In a recent study
comparing post-BD FEV1 response and PEF
measurements, Hunter et al15
demonstrated relatively equal
sensitivity (49% vs 43%, respectively) in distinguishing individuals
with mild asthma from nonasthmatic individuals.
In our study, correlation statistics of post-BD
FEV1 with PEFvar could not be performed because
of the limited number of positive post-BD FEV1
findings. Descriptively, a higher number of participants had a
20%
peak flow diurnal variation vs a
12% FEV1
post-BD response, and there was greater sensitivity (53.66%) for the
best PEFvar index (highest amp%low; index 12) when compared to post-BD
FEV1 changes (sensitivity, 6.12%). These
findings are consistent with the expectation that individuals who at
baseline are maximally bronchodilated will have minimal post-BD
responses.1
3
The absence of reversibility to BD in our
study population clearly did not rule out asthma, because there was a
high false-negative rate (79.31%) using this parameter.
As with PEFvar and post-BD FEV1 changes, there are limited data in the literature demonstrating a correlation of pre-BD and post-BD FEV1 responses with MIC.6 13 14 Recently, Hunter et al15 reported on pre-BD and post-BD FEV1 response and MIC in a mixed group of healthy subjects, patients with mild asthma, and nonasthmatic subjects with asthma-like symptoms. The respective post-BD responses were much less sensitive (49% vs 91%) and much less specific (70% vs 90%) than MIC in diagnosing asthma.
In our study, there were only three participants who had a
12%
improvement in post-BD FEV1. Two of these
participants responded to MIC at doses < 8 mg/mL and were
true-positive asthmatics. The third participant had a false-negative
MIC result and eventually received a diagnosis of asthma. However, 39
participants with positive MIC results showed no significant change in
the post-BD FEV1. In our study, the mean (± 1
SD) post-BD FEV1 response was 3.41 ± 4.87%,
which is in the normal range for healthy individuals (- 3.5 to
8.5%).1
The false-negative rate of post-BD
FEV1 responses among our subjects was 78.95%.
The lack of significant FEV1 response to BD
treatment was therefore not a helpful diagnostic test for asthma in our
study population.
| Conclusion |
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PEFvar and/or pre-BD and post-BD FEV1 responses
are not interchangeable with and cannot substitute for MIC in the
assessment of a patient with suspected asthma with normal findings on
physical examination, chest radiography, and spirometry. PEFvar and
post-BD FEV1 responses may in fact measure
different aspects of asthma.1
8
Paradoxically, the NHLBI
recommends a PEF diurnal variation
20% as a diagnostic tool for
asthma, while it also recognizes the limitation of PEFvar in those with
intermittent disease who may have PEFvar < 20%.7
The
results of our study suggest that both PEFvar and post-BD response are
much less sensitive than MIC for detecting asthma. Although some
epidemiologists and clinicians propose PEFvar and post-BD
FEV1 responses as simpler, less expensive,
objective tests for asthma diagnosis, we have found that on an
individual basis, these tests have serious limitations, including low
sensitivity and high false-negative rates. Furthermore, calculations of
diurnal variation by a variety of indexes (including those consistent
with NHLBI recommendations) failed to detect important changes in
airways lability in our study population. Based on our results, relying
on PEFvar as a diagnostic tool for asthma as suggested by the NHLBI may
lead to underdiagnosis, undertreatment, and/or delay in early
intervention. Our findings warrant a reconsideration of the NHLBI
guidelines recommendation of the utility of PEFvar as an accurate
diagnostic tool for asthma in clinical practice.
| Footnotes |
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This project was supported by the Asthma Center Education and Research Fund, a nonprofit organization dedicated to advances in asthma, and a nonrestricted research grant from Merck & Co., Inc.
Received for publication April 24, 2000. Accepted for publication October 9, 2000.
| References |
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