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* From the Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, Barcelona, Catalunya, Spain.
Correspondence to: Joaquin Sanchis, MD, PhD, Departament de Pneumologia, Hospital de la Santa Creu i de Sant Pau, C/Sant Antoni Maria Claret, 167 08025-Barcelona, Spain; e-mail: jsanchis{at}hsp.santpau.es
| Abstract |
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Patients and methods: A cohort of 31 patients with stable, well-controlled asthma receiving inhaled steroid treatment regularly were followed up for 1 year or until a mild exacerbation occurred. Mild exacerbation was defined as symptoms of asthma lasting > 48 h with a fall in peak expiratory flow > 20%. FEV1, provocative concentration of methacholine causing a 20% fall in FEV1, eosinophil count, and eosinophilic cationic protein (ECP) levels in blood and in sputum were measured at the first visit and every 2 months.
Results: At baseline, the mean (SD) eosinophil count was 0.39 x 109/L (0.21 x 109/L) in blood and 13% (14%) in sputum; ECP was 30 µg/L (28 µg/L) in blood and 75 µg/L (85 µg/L) in sputum. Thirteen subjects experienced a mild exacerbation during the 1-year follow-up period. The mean time to mild exacerbation was 293 days (95% confidence interval [CI], 248 to 337 days), and the cumulative probability of not experiencing a mild exacerbation in 1 year was 49% (95% CI, 39 to 59%). An increased risk of mild exacerbation was associated with blood eosinophil count > 0.4 x 109/L (relative risk 4.5; 95% CI of relative risk, 1.8 to 38.0), blood ECP > 20 µg/L (relative risk, 2.1; 95% CI of relative risk, 1.0 to 9.2), and sputum ECP > 40 µg/L (relative risk, 2.5; 95% CI of relative risk, 1.2 to 11.2), but was unassociated with other variables.
Conclusions: Patient with stable, well-controlled asthma are at risk of mild exacerbation during 1 year of follow-up despite regular inhaled steroid treatment. Eosinophilic inflammation expressed as eosinophil count and ECP is associated with higher risk of mild exacerbation.
Key Words: asthma eosinophilic cationic protein eosinophils exacerbation risk factors
| Introduction |
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Asthma is characterized by an extremely variable course with unpredictable exacerbations. In a substantial number of studies of exacerbation, the emphasis has mostly been on life-threatening episodes occurring in patients with symptomatic asthma treated in the emergency department. Thus, many risk factors for severe exacerbations have been described,3 4 such as age, smoking history, poor disease control, previous mechanical ventilation, admission to the ICU, history of worsening asthma, use of air conditioning, deterioration in FEV1, labile asthma, and others. In comparison, few studies have been published on mild exacerbations in patients with long-term, stable asthma5 6 7 ; therefore, there is little information about the frequency and risk factors for mild exacerbation in subjects with well-controlled asthma whose treatment has been clinically optimized. Information on this aspect is important for determining appropriate future management and may have influence on the lives of the patients.
We aimed to determine the time to exacerbation, the cumulative probability of mild exacerbation in a cohort of subjects with well-controlled and moderate-treated asthma, and the impact on these two variables of eosinophilia and eosinophilic cationic protein (ECP) levels in induced sputum and peripheral blood.
| Materials and Methods |
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Study Design
This was a longitudinal observational study with blind
assessment of outcome measures. Subjects were recruited from the
outpatient clinic of a referral hospital. Approval from the hospital
ethics committee was obtained, and all subjects gave written informed
consent.
The inclusion period was the fall season (September to November) when
most subjects were not highly exposed to house dust mites. The end
point was defined by the occurrence of mild exacerbation, defined as
symptoms of asthma lasting > 48 h and preventing subjects from
performing their usual activities, in association with a fall in peak
expiratory flow (PEF)
20% of the mean morning value established
during the run-in period.
Eligible subjects were monitored over a 2-month run-in period. Symptoms and lung function stability were rigorously checked. Subjects were then eligible for the study if they complied with the recording of a home diary and if their asthma was under control. Subjects were then interviewed on 2 consecutive days every 2 months for 1 year. On the first day, a clinical history was obtained, and a physical examination and methacholine challenge test were completed; on the second day, venous blood and induced sputum samples were obtained and examined. Laboratory technicians were blinded to the clinical characteristics until the end of the study. In addition, subjects recorded the following data twice daily in a home diary: PEFs, symptom scores, and the number of puffs of rescue medication needed.
No changes were made in treatment or follow-up procedures during the study, and the prescribed dose of inhaled steroid remained the same until mild exacerbation occurred. In the event of exacerbation, subjects were instructed to immediately contact the investigators and come to the hospital within 48 h. The investigators assessed each such event according to preestablished exacerbation criteria, and, in case of mild exacerbation, they increased the dose of inhaled steroid threefold (maximum, 3,600 µg/d) for a minimum of 4 days or until PEF returned to normal values.
Methods
Time to Exacerbation:
The primary outcome studied was the
time to mild exacerbation, which was defined as the number of days
elapsed from the beginning of the study to the onset of the first
exacerbation or to the end of the study.
Spirometry and Methacholine Challenge Test:
Standard
spirometry and methacholine challenge tests were performed, the latter
using a standardized continuous breathing method.10
Blood Measurements:
Peripheral blood was collected into
ethylenediaminetetra-acetic acid specimen (Vacutainer) tubes and
serum separating tubes (serum separator gel) before sputum induction.
Total and differential WBC counts were obtained using a differential
cell counter on ethylenediaminetetra-acetic acid tubes. Serum
separating tubes were centrifuged at room temperature (3,000
revolutions/min for 20 min) within 2 h, and serum was stored at
- 70°C.
Sputum Samples:
Sputum was induced by inhalation of
hypertonic saline solution at increasing concentrations (3%, 4%, and
5%) for 10 min. Selected portions from the whole expectorate were
processed as previously described11
and validated in our
laboratory.12
Cytologic Study:
The total cell count was obtained using a
Nebauer hemocytometer. The relative and absolute number of
eosinophils per milligram of processed sputum was calculated. Four
hundred inflammatory cells were counted on two slides stained with
Giemsa and eosin.
ECP Concentration:
The concentration of ECP in the thawed
supernatant was determined using an ECP FEIA commercial kit on a
Pharmacia UNICAP System (Pharmacia Diagnostics; Uppsala, Sweden) by
fluoroenzyme immunoassay. Results were expressed in micrograms per
liter.
Statistical Analysis
Sample size was calculated to estimate the probability of mild
exacerbation with ± 10% accuracy assuming an unknown rate of 50%.
Cut-off points for inflammatory markers were established a
priori based on the available normal values in our laboratory,
except for the provocative concentration of methacholine causing a 20%
fall in FEV1 (PC20), for
which an arbitrary cut-off of 4 mg/mL was selected to differentiate
borderline hyperresponsiveness. However, no sample-size assumptions
were made about differences between subgroups (exploratory approach).
Differences between unavailable subjects and subjects who were followed
up were checked using a Mann-Whitney U test. Statistical
analysis of the exacerbations was performed by the Kaplan-Meier
survival analysis method, in which baseline data are used to explore
relationships and predictions, with survival standing for time to
exacerbation. The effect of each variable tested on the risk of
exacerbation was determined by sorting the subjects into two groups
depending on high or low baseline values; this was performed for every
variable, and the time to exacerbation between groups was compared by
the Mantel-Haenszel method (log-rank). A p value < 0.05 was accepted
as significant. Ninety-five percent confidence intervals (95% CIs)
were calculated to determine the effects of sampling variation on the
precision of estimated statistics. A double check with multivariate Cox
regression analysis was performed to adjust for steroid dose,
long-acting ß-agonist dose, and to rank independent variables.
| Results |
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Risk Factors
An absolute number of eosinophils in blood
> 0.4 x 109/L was associated with a shorter
time until an exacerbation occurred and a cumulative probability of a
mild exacerbation (SD) of 83% (11%) vs 23% (11%) of the opposite
group (relative risk, 4.5; 95% CI of relative risk, 1.8 to 38; Fig 1
). High blood ECP levels reduced the time to mild exacerbation, and
increased the probability of a mild exacerbation (Fig 1
and Table 2
). Conversely, sputum eosinophilia did not have a significant impact on
time to mild exacerbation, although the time to exacerbation tended to
be shorter in subjects with a sputum eosinophil count > 5% (Fig 2
). Subjects with a sputum ECP level > 2 SDs higher than that reported
for healthy subjects12
were more likely to experience mild
exacerbations (68% [14%] vs 33% [14%]) for subjects with levels
within 2 SDs of healthy subject levels (Fig 2)
.
FEV1 and PC20 did not
influence mild exacerbation rates significantly (Fig 3
and Table 2
). Multivariate Cox regression analysis, controlling for the
effect of treatment (steroid and long-acting ß-agonists), confirmed
these results and selected blood eosinophils at baseline as the factor
with the greatest impact.
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| Discussion |
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The aim of current guidelines for asthma treatment is to reach the control of symptoms, airflow limitation, and inflammation, although the last factor is not regularly assessed.9 Patients with stable asthma are not expected to experience exacerbations when their conditions are well controlled and treatment has been optimized. However, our finding of a 49% cumulative probability of a mild exacerbation means that approximately one half of the subjects followed up for 1 year are likely to suffer at least one exacerbation. At the initial visit, the asthma of our subjects was apparently under control according to guidelines,8 9 in spite of underlying eosinophilic inflammation that was ultimately associated with a risk of exacerbation. The eosinophilic inflammation reflected poorly controlled disease, and we may speculate that uncontrolled inflammation predisposed subjects to experience mild exacerbations. If we interpret the presence of inflammation to reflect undertreatment, our findings have clinical relevance, supporting the view that asthma treatment should be guided not only by symptoms and airflow limitation but also by eosinophilic inflammatory markers.13
We found evidence of higher risk of mild exacerbation in subjects with signs of eosinophilic inflammation over the course of a year, but this effect was independent of the dose of budesonide as well as of the addition of salmeterol. We and others7 assume that the effect of these medications on exacerbation is mediated by their capacity to modify inflammation.
Symptoms, need of treatment, and airflow limitation are well-known markers of asthma severity.6 14 15 16 We did not find a relevant role of these factors in our well-controlled subjects, because in these subjects they may lose their predictive value, and improved monitoring of inflammatory markers is likely to play a more important role in controlling disease.
Similarly, airway responsiveness was not a significant risk factor for mild exacerbation in our study. However, Figure 2 shows different time-to-exacerbation curves for those subjects who had moderate-to-severe hyperresponsiveness (< 0.4 mg/mL) compared with the others. Recent data17 suggest a relationship between exacerbation and the degree of airway hyperresponsiveness because treating asthma with a sufficient dose of inhaled steroid reduces hyperresponsiveness and prevents exacerbations. Although it is possible that our study was underpowered to detect this effect, multivariate Cox regression analysis excluded airway hyperresponsiveness, suggesting its secondary role. Based on our current knowledge of asthma pathophysiology, it seems logical that an indirect marker of inflammation like bronchial hyperresponsiveness had less relevance than a direct one, such as the number of eosinophils. Accordingly, Sont et al17 found that the improvement in airway hyperresponsiveness was not clearly paralleled by the improvement in bronchial biopsy findings. Moreover, Crimi et al18 also found that nonspecific airway responsiveness was not a predictor of severity of exacerbation. Therefore, it remains unknown whether or not the reduction in exacerbation rates is because of a reduction in PC20, or in airway inflammation, which indirectly reduces hyperresponsiveness.
Subjects with blood eosinophil counts > 0.4 x 109/L had a 5.4-times higher risk of exacerbation than subjects with < 0.4 x 109/L. The relationship between peripheral blood eosinophils and asthma has been known for a long time,19 although insufficient attention was paid to this observation until interest was revived by Baigelman et al20 and Virchow et al.21 They showed a good correlation between blood eosinophilia and FEV1 after an exacerbation. In addition, Janson and Herala22 suggested that eosinophilia in blood could be a prognostic factor for exacerbations in asthma. We think that eosinophilia in blood may reflect activation of bone marrow production, as can be inferred from the observations of other authors23 24 expressing a particular predisposition of a subject to suffer exacerbation.
Eosinophilia in induced sputum has been related to exacerbations25 and is useful in guiding treatment of an exacerbation in severe asthma.26 Sont et al,27 following up asthmatic subjects for 2 years, suggested that the degree of airway inflammation can be a risk factor for future exacerbations. In our study, sputum eosinophil count was not significantly related to spontaneous exacerbation in the following year. This lack of association was unexpected. Two reasons might explain this finding: treatment with inhaled steroids, and the systemic effect of eosinophilic airway inflammation. The former relates to the fact that our patients were in stable condition and receiving an inhaled steroid treatment regularly. This may have partially controlled local eosinophilic inflammation, therefore hiding the association between eosinophil counts and exacerbation. The latter relates to the fact that sputum eosinophilia reflects local events, whereas other markers of eosinophilic inflammation (mainly in blood) might reflect a more systemic state of eosinophilic activation, resulting in long-term risk of exacerbation that could be controlled by higher inhaled corticosteroid doses. It is also possible that the etiology of an exacerbation plays a determinant role in the importance of sputum eosinophilia. We, like others,28 29 found most exacerbations to be related to infection, which has been described as noneosinophilic in sputum.26 28 Finally, our data reinforce that high ECP levels seem to be related to risk of exacerbations,30 as several authors31 32 33 have previously described.
We conclude that subjects with well-controlled asthma have a high risk of mild exacerbation, which is related to underlying eosinophilic inflammation present at the first visit (baseline). Our data indicate that subjects with active eosinophilic inflammation are more likely to experience a mild exacerbation and that, given the great variability in the natural course of the disease, close monitoring of eosinophilic inflammation may be warranted to evaluate the risk of an individual patient.
| Footnotes |
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Supported in part by a grant from the Sociedad Española de Neumología.
Received for publication July 15, 1999. Accepted for publication October 27, 2000.
| References |
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