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* From the Pulmonary Institute (Dr. Appelbaum), Hadassah University Medical Center, Jerusalem, Israel; the Pulmonary Institute (Dr. Yigla), Rambam Medical Center, Haifa, Israel; the Pulmonary Institute (Dr. Reichart), Shiba Medical Center, Tel-Hashomer, Israel; the Pulmonary Institute (Drs. Kramer, Fink, and Bendayan), Rabin Medical Center, Petah-Tikvah, Israel; the Pulmonary Institute (Dr. Priel), Pulmonary Department, Wolfson Medical Center, Holon, Israel; the Pulmonary Institute (Dr. Schwartz), Ichilov Medical Center, Tel-Aviv, Israel; Haemek Medical Center (Dr. Richman), Afula, Israel; the Pulmonary Institute (Dr. Picard), Shaarey-zedek Medical Center, Jerusalem, Israel; the Epidemiology Department (Dr. Goldman), Hadassah University Medical Center, Jerusalem, Israel.
Correspondence to: Mordechai R. Kramer, MD, FCCP, Institute of Pulmonology, Rabin Medical Center, Petach Tikva, 49100 Israel; e-mail: pulm{at}netvision.net.il
| Abstract |
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Methods: We have evaluated retrospectively all the patients in Israel in whom PPH was diagnosed between the years 1988 and 1997. We looked at medical history, hemodynamic data, pulmonary function and gas exchange, and demographic variables. Patients were followed up for survival until November 1997. Life table analysis and Kaplan-Meier statistics were used to estimate the overall survival distribution. Regression analysis was used to examine the relations between survival and selected variables.
Results: Overall, we found 44 patients with PPH. The estimated incidence of PPH in Israel is 1.4 new cases per year per million population. The mean (± SD) age at diagnosis was 43 ± 13 years. In the Jewish population, PPH was more frequent among immigrants from Europe and the United States. The mean interval from the onset of symptoms to diagnosis was 3 years (median, 2 years). The median survival time was 4 years. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates were 82%, 57%, and 43%, respectively. The major variables influencing the survival rate were the following: interval from symptom onset to diagnosis; and hemodynamic measurements (ie, mean pulmonary artery pressure, mean right atrial pressure, and cardiac index). In comparison to rates discerned from the National Institutes of Health registry data, the survival rate in Israel is somewhat better and prognosis is influenced by similar hemodynamic variables.
Conclusion: PPH is a rare and fatal disease in Israel. New therapeutic modalities such as prostacyclin therapy and lung transplantation may improve survival among patients with this malignant disease.
Key Words: lung transplantation primary pulmonary hypertension prostacyclin
| Introduction |
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In Israel, characterization of the disease has not been performed. The goal of this study was to characterize PPH in Israel by estimating its incidence, discerning the survival rate of patients with the disease, characterizing the demographic, clinical, and hemodynamic variables of patients with the disease, clarifying the factors influencing survival rates, and estimating the length of time between the onset of symptoms and the time of diagnosis.
| Materials and Methods |
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Variables
For each patient, a uniform protocol was completed that included
the following: demographic data; clinical history; physical
examination; laboratory tests; chest radiographs; ECG; pulmonary
function tests; echocardiography; radionuclide perfusion lung scan
and/or angiography; and cardiac catheterization.2
Length of survival was measured from the time of diagnosis and from the date of symptom onset. The clinical, hemodynamic, and laboratory variables also were measured at the time of diagnosis and were related to the subsequent mortality.
Information about the Israeli population was obtained from the main statistical bureau.
Analysis
Analysis of the demographic, clinical, and hemodynamic variables
of the patients was performed as a whole group and separately as a
comparison between two groups (ie, men and women). For
survival analysis, we used life table analysis and the Kaplan-Meier
method.2
10
We estimated the median survival time and the
1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates. Univariate analysis based on
the proportional hazards model2
10
was used to examine the
relationship between survival and selected demographic, medical
history, pulmonary function, laboratory, and hemodynamic variables
measured during the initial catheterization. At the completion of the
univariate analysis, any variable for which the univariate test had a
value of p < 0.05 was considered to be a candidate for the
multivariate model. A stepwise technique was used for choosing the best
combination of variables. Multivariate analysis based on the Cox
proportional-hazards regression analysis was used to examine the
adjusted independent effect on survival of each variable, controlling
for the possible confounders. After analyzing the data, we
compared the results with the existing data on PPH from the NIH
registry.2
3
Finally, we analyzed the applicability in our population of the
equation for predicting a prognosis of PPH that was proposed by the NIH
registry of PPH patients. According to this registry, the
prognosis for patients with PPH could be established by use of the
following equation, which takes into consideration the main factors
affecting survival3
11
:
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For the rest of the statistical analysis, we used t tests
and
2 tests. Values were expressed as mean
± SD. A value of p < 0.05 was accepted for significance.
| Results |
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Demographic Characteristics
The mean age of the patients at diagnosis was 42.8 ± 13 years
(age range, 16 to 63 years), which was similar for male and female
patients. The age distribution of the patients is shown in Figure 1
, with the highest frequency for female patients in the fifth decade and
the highest frequency for male patients in the fourth decade. The ratio
of women to men with the disease was 3.4:1. The patient distribution
according to nationality (ie, Jews, Muslims, Christians, and
Druze) was the same as the distribution in the population.
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Medical and Family History
The percentage of smokers among the patients was similar to the
percentage in the population (25%). Three patients (7%) had histories
of using appetite-suppressant drugs. Two patients (5%) also had
Gauchers disease and were treated with the enzyme alglucerase
(Ceredase; Genzyme; Cambridge, MA). None of the patients had a
history of familial pulmonary hypertension.
Symptoms
Dyspnea was the most common presenting symptom and was present in
90% of the patients. Other, less common, presenting symptoms were
fatigue (20%), chest pain (19%), syncope (16%), leg edema (11%),
palpitations (10%), and presyncope (4%). Four patients (10%)
reported symptoms of Raynauds phenomenon. The functional status of
the patients at diagnosis according to the New York Heart Association
(NYHA) classification was as follows: class 1, 1 patient; class 2, 20
patients (45%); class 3, 18 patients (41%); and class 4, 4 patients
(10%).
The mean time from the onset of symptoms to diagnosis was 2.9 years (median, 2 years) and was similar in men and women. A diagnosis of PPH was made in 93% of patients within 3 years after symptom onset and in 80% of patients within 2 years after symptom onset.
Laboratory Findings
The ECG showed sinus rhythm in all the patients. Right-axis
deviation with right ventricular hypertrophy and strain were reported
in all except one patient. About half of the patients showed right
bundle-branch block. The echocardiogram showed enlargement of
the right atrium and ventricle with a normal left ventricle in all the
patients. Tricuspid insufficiency was described in 90% of the
patients, and paradoxical septal motion was described in 40% of
patients.
The results of an antinuclear antibody test were positive in five patients (11%; four women and one man). The hemoglobin level was relatively high (men, 16.8 g/dL; women, 14.5 g/dL). The lung perfusion scan was interpreted as normal or with low probability for pulmonary embolism in 60% of patients. In 40% of the patients, the result of the lung perfusion scan was intermediate probability for pulmonary embolism, and the result of a pulmonary angiogram was negative.
Pulmonary Function
Selected variables of pulmonary function are presented in Table 1 . Three patients showed a mild restrictive disturbance, and the
diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO)
measured significantly less than that predicted (mean DLCO,
56.7% of predicted). Mild-to-moderate hypoxemia was present in 89% of
the patients, and hypocapnia was present in 95%.
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Treatment
Anticoagulant therapy was administered to 95% of the patients.
Most of the patients also were treated with vasodilator therapy,
especially using nifedipine. Only six patients (13%) were treated with
prostacyclin; three patients received transplants, and the other three
died.
Three of the 44 patients received transplants, two women and one man. Two of the three patients underwent double lung transplantation, and one patient underwent heart-lung transplantation. Twelve patients died while waiting for transplants, both in Israel and abroad.
Survival
By the end of November 1997, 28 of 44 patients had died.
Right-sided heart failure (16 patients) was the leading cause of death,
and sudden death (12 patients) was the other main cause of death. After
1 year, no difference was found between the percentages of men and
women who had survived, but after 3 years and 5 years a significant
difference was found (p < 0.05), with women surviving longer.
The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates were 82%, 57%, and 43%, respectively. Figure 2 shows a Kaplan-Meier survival curve from the time of diagnosis. The median survival time was 48 months.
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In the multivariate analysis, the most positive predictive values were the time until diagnosis and the mean RAP. When excluding the length of time until diagnosis, other variables (ie, FEV1, PCO2, and cardiac index) became positive, except for the RAP. Survival was not associated with patient gender, age at diagnosis, the presence of Raynauds phenomenon, the results of pulmonary function tests and blood gas analyses, pulmonary vascular resistance, or systemic vascular resistance. Finally, by calculating and comparing the projected survival times with the real survival times of our patients, using the equation for prediction of prognosis for patients with PPH that was proposed by the NIH registry, we found a very poor correlation between the projected and real survival times (approximately 30% error).
| Discussion |
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About 7% of the patients had a history of anorexiant usage. The higher incidence of PPH in anorexiant users is well-known.12 13 14 Two of our patients were treated for Gauchers disease with the enzyme alglucerase. It is thought that there is a connection between PPH and Gauchers disease, either through the diseases or through the treatment with alglucerase.15
Of our 44 patients, no positive familial history of PPH was reported, compared to 6% in the American survey.3 16 A long symptomatic period preceded the diagnosis in most of the patients. This could be explained by the low specificity of the symptoms. The most common presenting symptoms, dyspnea and fatigue, were present > 2 years before the diagnosis was made in most cases. The mean time from symptom onset to diagnosis was 3 years, which was longer than the mean time in the United States (2 years).
The median length of survival was 4 years, which was longer than that in the results of the American survey (2.8 years). The 1-year survival rate was 82%, the 3-year survival rate was 57%, and the 5-year survival rate was 43%. Every one of these values also was higher when compared with the NIH results. The median survival rate and the 3-year and 5-year survival rates were significantly higher for women than for men, but sex was not found to be a predictive value for survival in the regression analysis. This discrepancy could be explained by the difference between comparing the median survival rate in two groups and by analyzing the influence of different variables on survival by a regression analysis, which is nonparametric and takes into account the conditioned character of the survival distribution. We have found that the most important factors for predicting survival were the time from symptom onset until diagnosis and the mean pressure in the right atrium. The time between symptom onset and diagnosis was found to be an important parameter in predicting survival in our patients. The chance for the survival of the patient become better as the disease is diagnosed earlier. Although the data were collected before the era of prostacyclin therapy,17 18 19 20 21 22 it is possible that earlier interventions, such as prostacyclin and anticoagulation therapy, will improve survival time. On the other hand, when a high RAP or a low cardiac index is observed, death is impending and therapy should be promptly instituted.
The nature of our study is retrospective, and, therefore, patients might have been missed, possibly those who died early on, which may explain the discrepancy between the results of our study and those based on the American registry.
While analyzing the usefulness of the equation for predicting survival that was proposed by the NIH,3 we found a poor correlation between the predicted survival time and the real survival time in our population. A possible explanation for this is the relatively small population and the rigidity of the equation. The equation takes into account only the hemodynamic measurements (ie, mean RAP, mean PAP, and cardiac index), and not other factors, such as the time until diagnosis, that had strong predictive values in our population.
We conclude that PPH is a rare and fatal disease in Israel with similar incidence and outcome to those in other areas of the world. Early diagnosis may lead to better prognosis if therapy with prostacyclin is instituted promptly.
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| Footnotes |
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Received for publication April 19, 2000. Accepted for publication November 26, 2000.
| References |
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