(Chest. 2001;120:1577-1583.)
© 2001
American College of Chest Physicians
Effect of Smoking Cessation on Major Histologic Types of Lung Cancer*
Sadik A. Khuder, PhD and
Anand B. Mutgi, MD, MSc
*
From the Department of Medicine, Medical College of Ohio, Toledo, OH.
Correspondence to: Sadik A. Khuder, PhD, Department of Medicine, Medical College of Ohio, 3120 Glendale Ave, Toledo, OH 43614-5809; e-mail: skhuder{at}mco.edu
 |
Abstract
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Study objectives: It is well-recognized that the risk
of lung cancer declines after smoking cessation. However, the degree of
decline in different histologic types of lung cancer is not well
understood. We conducted a meta-analysis of peer-reviewed studies to
assess the effect of smoking cessation on rates of major histologic
types of lung cancer.
Design: Studies published in
English between 1970 and 1999 were identified through searches of
computerized databases (ie, MEDLINE and CANCERLIT).
Combined estimates of relative risk and 95% confidence intervals were
calculated for 27 studies using fixed and random effects models.
Separate analyses were conducted for men and women.
Results: Smoking cessation was associated with a reduction
in the risk of all the major histologic types of lung cancer. The
highest reduction was in small cell lung carcinoma (SCLC) and squamous
cell carcinoma (SQC), and the lowest reduction was seen in large cell
cancer and adenocarcinoma. In women, the combined risks for SQC and
SCLC were higher than those in men. The dose-response curve for
intensity of smoking was steeper in women.
Conclusion:
The findings of this study suggest that smoking cessation results in
the greatest reductions for SCLC and SQC. This effect is most marked in
heavy smokers, particularly among women.
Key Words: case-control cessation histology lung cancer odds ratio smoking
 |
Introduction
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Lung
cancer is the most common malignancy in the United States and is the
leading cause of cancer deaths in men and women.1
The lung
cancer incidence is leveling off in men but is continuing to rise at a
steady rate among women.
The association between smoking and lung cancer has been studied
extensively and is well-established. Eighty-seven to ninety percent of
lung cancer cases are attributable to cigarette smoking, and smokers
are 22 times more likely to die from lung cancer than
nonsmokers.2
It is well-recognized that the risk of lung cancer declines after
smoking cessation.3
4
However, it is not known whether
this decline varies with the histologic type of lung cancer. Previous
studies have shown that smoking is more often associated with squamous
cell carcinoma (SQC) or small cell lung carcinoma (SCLC) than with
adenocarcinoma (ADC).5
6
Consequently, it is expected that
greater reductions would be seen in cases of SQC and SCLC after smoking
cessation. The effect of quitting smoking on the risk of large cell
carcinoma (LGC) is not well-understood. In this study, we examined the
effects of the cessation of smoking on the risk for the major
histologic types of lung cancer.
 |
Materials and Methods
|
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The MEDLINE and CANCERLIT databases were searched using key
words pertaining to smoking and to histologic type of lung cancer. In
addition, the reference lists of identified studies as well as review
articles were examined to identify additional studies. This search
strategy identified over 600 articles on smoking and lung cancer. Only
studies pertaining to lung histology and published in English were
reviewed. We excluded case series studies from further review. The
search was repeated until no additional articles were found prior to
September 2000. Articles were examined, and studies were excluded from
the meta-analysis for any one of the following reasons: (1) two or more
histologic types were grouped together and no data were presented on
the specific histologic type; (2) lack of measures for relative risk;
(3) absence of risk comparison to nonsmokers; and (4) the group studied
was included in another published study.
Articles were stratified into subgroups based on study design and year
of publication. Studies were reviewed and data pertaining to estimator
of relative risk were abstracted. A series of meta-analyses were
conducted and the results were evaluated in the context of the
published literature on the subject. The heterogeneity of the
estimators of relative risk was tested using Cochran Q
statistics.7
The fixed-effects model was used to obtain
the combined estimator of relative risk (odds ratio [OR]) and its SE.
The random-effects model8
was used in situations in which
significant heterogeneity within the groups of studies was detected.
Stratified analyses were carried out according to the type of control
used in case-control studies. Separate analyses were carried out for
men and women. The dose-response relationship was evaluated for the
number of years of abstinence from smoking. At each dose, the OR and
95% confidence interval (CI) were extracted. The SE was calculated
from the 95% CI. For a few studies in which the 95% CI was not
provided, the OR and SE were calculated using the number of exposed
cases and controls.
An exponential random-effects approach9
was used to assess
the effect of the number of years since smoking cessation on the risk
reduction of lung cancer. For each study, a dose-response estimate was
obtained by imposing a linear trend model for the natural logarithm of
the OR (ln OR) at each exposure level. The midinterval score was
assigned to a dose level at each exposure category. A combined
slope or trend was obtained by combining individual slope estimates.
The equality of the response across dose levels was tested using a
t test.
Publication bias was investigated by constructing funnel plots for the
ln OR vs study size for each histologic type. A rank correlation
test10
was used to test for the statistical significance
of publication bias.
 |
Results
|
|---|
Forty-eight studies evaluating the association between smoking and
major histologic types of lung cancer were reviewed. These studies were
published between 1970 and 1999. Fifteen studies11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
were excluded because insufficient information was provided on the OR
or the SE. Four studies26
27
28
29
were excluded because the
histologic types were identified only as "Kreyberg I" and
"Kreyberg II." One study30
presented a combined
analysis of case-control studies in China and was excluded because the
information on the original studies was not given.
The remaining 28 studies were included in the analysis. Information
about these studies is presented in Table 1
. There were 27 case-control studies5
6
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
and one
prospective cohort study.56
Population-based control
subjects were used in 12 case-control
studies.5
34
35
36
38
43
45
48
49
50
53
54
Eleven
studies31
32
33
37
39
40
41
42
46
51
55
used hospital-based
control subjects, and only 2 studies6
44
were
autopsy-based. The study of Damber and
Larsson47
used both population-based and autopsy-based
control subjects, and data pertaining to population-based control
subjects were used in the meta-analysis. The study of Ger et
al52
used both hospital-based and population-based control
subjects and was considered as a population-based study in the
analysis. Nine studies5
6
33
44
45
47
51
53
54
were
restricted to men, and four studies35
43
49
50
were
restricted to women. Twelve studies32
34
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
46
48
55
reported data separately for both men and women. The most frequent
histologic type of lung cancer was SQC, and the least frequent
histologic type was LGC.
The combined ORs for histologic types according to smoking status and
study design are presented in Table 2
. Significant heterogeneity was detected among studies on current
smokers and for all histologic types and study designs. For ex-smokers,
the heterogeneity test was not significant for SQC and SCLC in studies
utilizing population-based control subjects. For SCLC, the
combined estimate for population-based control subjects was higher than
that for other designs. The highest OR was 72.5 (95% CI, 13.8 to 379)
for SCLC and current smokers. The lowest OR was 2.55 (95% CI, 0.82 to
7.89) for ADC and ex-smokers.
Table 3
presents combined ORs for different histologic types of lung cancer by
smoking status and gender. In current smokers, the combined OR for SQC
and SCLC in women was higher than that in men. This gender difference
was less marked for ADC. We could not ascertain the gender differences
in LGC due to the limited number of studies. Among ex-smokers, there
was a consistent decline in combined ORs across all histologic types of
lung cancer. In ex-smokers, women had greater reductions in risk for
SQC and SCLC compared to men.
Fourteen studies5
6
32
35
40
41
42
44
46
48
50
53
54
56
provided information on the number of years since smoking cessation.
The pooled dose-response test was significant in all the four
histologic types (Table 4
). The reduction in risk was steeper in SCLC in comparison to other
subtypes (Fig 1
). Combined estimates for the number of years since the cessation of
smoking are presented in Table 5
. Between 1 year and 4 years of cessation, there was a 19% reduction in
the risk of SCLC. The lowest reduction was for ADC (12%). After
10 years, there was a 65% reduction in SCLC and only a 47%
reduction in ADC.
A plot for the ln OR in ever-smokers vs the inverse of the SE was
generated for each of the four histologic types. None of the plots
showed a relationship between ln OR and study size. The test for
publication bias by histologic type indicated no evidence of bias due
to study size for all histologic types of lung cancer.
 |
Discussion
|
|---|
The findings of this study suggest that the risk of lung cancer
decreases significantly after the cessation of smoking and for all
histologic types of the disease. The magnitude of reduction varies
among the histologic types of lung cancer. The cessation of smoking
showed the greatest reduction in the risk of SQC or SCLC. The OR
decreases progressively as the number of years of abstinence from
smoking increases, and this is true for all histologic types. The risk
reduction was most noticeable for SCLC followed by SQC. ADC
displayed the least risk reduction. Our findings concerning
risk reduction with abstinence are corollary to the effect of smoking
on the occurrence of the major histologic types of lung cancer.
The association between smoking and SCLC or SQC is stronger than that
for ADC.5
6
32
40
42
44
46
48
50
54
We also noted that the
effect of smoking cessation on LGC was greater than that on ADC.
The results of our meta-analysis affirm that cessation of smoking is
effective in reducing the risk of lung cancer in both men and women and
that this effect is significantly greater for SCLC and SQC.
Interestingly, women appeared to experience greater reduction in the
risk of SCLC and SQC compared to men. However, the difference between
women and men is not significant for ADC. Recent epidemiologic studies
suggest that, given the same level of lifelong exposure, women may be
more susceptible to tobacco carcinogens than men.31
Mollerup et al57
found that women had significantly higher
levels of pulmonary DNA adducts (ie, modified DNA resulting
from the binding of polynuclear aromatic hydrocarbons to the p53 gene)
per pack-year than did men. The gender difference may be related to
circulating female steroid hormones. A recent study58
suggested that polymorphisms in CYP1A1 and GSTM1 contribute to an
increased risk of lung cancer in women.
The steeper dose-response relationship with cessation of smoking was
more noticeable for SCLC, particularly for women. This finding is
clinically significant, as SCLC incidence appears to be increasing more
rapidly in women than in men.59
60
61
Increased efforts
toward smoking cessation in women would yield earlier and greater
reductions in SCLC.
The dose-response for LGC was not calculated in women due to
insufficient data, and therefore no conclusions can be drawn. Several
morphologic features of LGC are shared with other cell types. In the
Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program, LGC was not
categorized before 1978.62
We can only speculate that the
reduction of risk in women is similar to that in men.
We noted that the progressive reduction in lung cancer incidence
continued for > 10 years, suggesting a continued benefit with
abstinence from smoking over time. Although the risk in ex-smokers was
significantly reduced in comparison to current smokers, the risk never
approached that in nonsmokers, even after > 10 years of smoking
cessation. This finding reinforces the importance of the need for
continued abstinence from smoking indefinitely. These findings also
suggest that cigarette smoking can act as both an initiator and a
promoter of lung carcinogenesis. The initiation and promotion of lung
cancer is thought to result from a series of genetic mutations,
including point mutations, chromosomal abnormalities, gene
amplification, and altered gene expression.63
Tobacco
smoke contains > 100 diverse mutagens and carcinogens, including
polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, N-nitrosamines, and aromatic amines.
The metabolites of these carcinogens are direct mutagens and may cause
DNA damage.64
The promoting activity may be diminished
immediately after the cessation of smoking and specifically for SCLC
and SQC. However, the initiating activity remains for an extended
period after the cessation of smoking and for all the histologic types
of lung cancer.
There are several limitations that need to be taken into consideration
before interpreting the findings of our analysis. These limitations
stem from the studies included in the analysis and the inherent
limitations of meta-analysis. Our meta-analysis involved studies from
different parts of the world, and thus the accuracy of the
classification of the histologic types of lung cancer may not be
consistent. The diagnosis of lung cancer was not necessarily performed
in a uniform manner across hospitals in different parts of the world.
Most of the studies are retrospective and relied on recall information
for exposure assessment leading to recall bias. The validity of the
information on years of cessation from smoking (especially in the
remote past) is difficult to determine. We limited our search to
studies published in the English language, and we may have missed some
published and unpublished work, particularly that stemming from smaller
studies. However, this is unlikely to affect our results substantially
since we have included studies from different continents.
Some studies were limited by the small number of cases for particular
histologic type and gender. The accuracy of ORs may not be reliable,
especially for LGC. Three types of control subjects were employed in
case-control studies, and the OR probably reflected a design-specific
bias. For deceased patients and control subjects, the data were
collected from the next of kin. The use of proxy respondents as a
source of data on smoking status may not be reliable. As smoking is
also related to causes of death other than lung cancer, a comparison
with deceased control subjects probably underestimated the true risk of
lung cancer. Living control subjects may outlive the patients by many
years and may, therefore, cause an overestimation of risk. The use of
hospital control subjects may lead to an underestimation of an effect
if the causes for hospitalization are also associated with smoking. Our
meta-analysis also is limited by the degree of heterogeneity, as noted
by the wide CIs. However, the decrease was consistent in the same
direction, suggesting a stability for risk reduction with smoking
cessation.
In conclusion, the findings of our meta-analysis suggest that
abstinence from cigarette smoking is associated with a reduction of
risk for all histologic types of lung cancer, with the reduction being
greater for patients with SCLC and SQC. This reduction is more marked
in women. Cohort studies are needed to corroborate our findings as the
incidence of SCLC is leveling off in men but continues to increase in
women. The continuous increase in the prevalence of smoking in
developing countries demands the means to address this serious health
problem. The findings also suggest that cigarette smoking has the
strongest effect on SCLC and the weakest effect on ADC. It is possible
that other exposures are involved in the etiology of ADC. Further
studies are needed to delineate these other risk factors for ADC. Our
study highlights the lack of data on the effect of smoking cessation on
LGC risk reduction. We suggest that further studies be conducted to
assess the effect of smoking cessation on the risk of LGC and that they
be conducted in women particularly.
 |
Footnotes
|
|---|
Abbreviations: ADC = adenocarcinoma;
CI = confidence interval; LGC = large cell carcinoma; ln
OR = natural logarithm of the odds ratio; OR = odds ratio;
SCLC = small cell lung carcinoma; SQC = squamous cell carcinoma;
Received for publication October 2, 2000.
Accepted for publication May 17, 2001.
 |
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