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* From Pulmonary and Critical Care, Bridgeport Hospital and Yale University School of Medicine, Bridgeport, CT.
Correspondence to: Constantine A. Manthous, MD, FCCP, Bridgeport Hospital, 267 Grant St, Bridgeport, CT 06610; e-mail: pcmant{at}bpthosp.org
| Abstract |
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Hypothesis: Cough strength, measured by voluntary cough peak expiratory flow (PEF), and endotracheal secretions, measured volumetrically, predict extubation outcomes of patients who have passed an SBT.
Patient population: Critically ill patients admitted to the medical ICU of a 300-bed community teaching hospital.
Methods: All patients who passed an SBT and were about to be extubated were studied. The best of three cough attempts, measured with an in-line spirometer, and the average hourly rate of suctioned secretions prior to extubation were recorded with other weaning parameters and demographic data.
Results: Ninety-five patients were studied before and after 115 extubations. There were 13 unsuccessful extubations. There were no differences in age, gender, duration of intubation, or APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) II scores between successful and unsuccessful extubations. The magnitude of endotracheal secretions was not associated with outcomes. The PEF of patients with unsuccessful extubations was significantly lower than that of those with successful extubations (64.2 ± 6.8 L/min vs 81.9 ± 2.7 L/min, p = 0.03). Patients with unsuccessful extubations stayed longer in the ICU than those with successful extubations (11.7 ± 2.1 days vs 5.3 ± 0.4 days, p = 0.009). Those with PEF
60 L/min were five times as likely to have unsuccessful extubations and were 19 times as likely to die on that hospital stay. PEF and the rapid shallow breathing index were independently associated with extubation outcomes, while only the PEF (
60 L/min) was independently associated with in-hospital mortality.
Conclusion: These data suggest that cough strength, measured objectively, is a predictor of extubation outcome, morbidity, and mortality.
Key Words: extubation mechanical ventilation mortality outcomes weaning
| Introduction |
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| Materials and Methods |
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7 cm H2O for 0.5 to 2 h. The SBT is terminated if patients have severe distress despite attempts of bedside personnel to attenuate anxiety, increments of heart rate > 20 beats/min or systolic BP > 20 mm Hg, respiratory rate > 35 breaths/min, tidal volumes < 0.3 L, or sustained pulse oximetry desaturations to < 90% while breathing 50% oxygen. Patients who successfully complete an SBT are further assessed with an arterial blood gas analysis; if the result is favorable (no acute respiratory acidosis and PaO2/FIO2 ratio > 120), the patient is considered for a trial of endotracheal extubation. In our ICU, some patients successfully complete the SBT and are not extubated if the clinician feels they still require an artificial airway. Patients were excluded from this study if they were being extubated to comfort care (withdrawal of life-sustaining therapies, no reintubation) or if they had a tracheostomy. The following data of each patient were gathered: age, ICU admission APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) II score measured on admission to the ICU, duration of endotracheal intubation/mechanical ventilation, endotracheal tube size, hemoglobin on the morning of the SBT, peak and plateau airway pressures on mechanical ventilation, arterial blood gas levels on full ventilatory support prior to and during the SBT, RSBI, SBT modality, and cardiorespiratory variables after 30 min of spontaneous breathing.
When patients had passed an SBT and extubation was being considered by their physicians, they were asked to cough into a peak flowmeter placed in series with the endotracheal tube via SIMS Portex (Keene, NH) filters. Patients were positioned at 30 to 45° and coached by study personnel to cough through the endotracheal tube spirometer. The best of three attempts was recorded as the cough peak expiratory flow (PEF). Caregivers were not made aware of the PEF. The peak flowmeter was calibrated with a pneumotachograph using different cough flows of three healthy subjects prior to beginning the study (Fig 1 ). Endotracheal secretions were routinely collected in a suction trap starting at 6 AM each morning. The volume of suctioned endotracheal secretions per hour, 2 to 6 h prior to endotracheal extubation, was recorded.
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For purposes of analysis, PEF, volume of suctioned secretions, RSBI, hemoglobin, admission APACHE II scores, and age were categorized into binary variables. Where appropriate, threshold levels were defined using standard norms. There are no known normative data for PEF in this population. Accordingly, a receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was constructed using interim data from the first 72 extubations. An optimum threshold value of 60 L/min (PEF
60 L/min) was obtained. This value was used to categorize PEF in the final analysis. Additionally, a ROC curve was constructed from the complete cohort data. The sensitivity and specificity of using PEF
60 L/min in predicting extubation failure is reported as well.
The main outcome of interest was extubation failure or success. Secondary outcomes considered include in-hospital mortality, and durations of ICU and hospital stay. Risk ratios (RRs) were computed as the preferred measure of the strength of association between the predictive variables and the binary outcomes of interest. Multivariate logistic regression and stratified analyses were used to adjust for confounders, assess effect modifiers, and identify variables that independently predicted extubation outcome and in-hospital mortality. The variables included in the logistic models were determined by the biological plausibility of each variable and/or evidence of an association in the univariate analysis. Also, mean values of the continuous outcome variables were compared across the categories of potential predictors using analysis of variance. Comparisons of median values were made using nonparametric methods (Kruskal-Wallis/Mann-Whitney tests). For grouped data,
2 and/or the Fisher exact test were used in comparing differences in proportions between the two groups and in deriving p values. The analyses were facilitated by use of the Epi Info 2000 program4
(Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA) and Statistica (StatSoft; Tulsa, OK); p < 0.05 was used to signify statistical significance.
| Results |
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60 L/min. There were no statistically significant differences in age, admission APACHE II score, and endotracheal tube size among patients with PEF
60 L/min vs > 60 L/min. Fifteen patients required re-intubation during the same hospitalization. There were a total of 13 unsuccessful extubations within the 72-h period following the initial extubations. They were classified as extubation failures. These included two patients who failed twice. The reasons for reintubation were inability to protect the airway (n = 5), hypoxemia (n = 3), stridor due to airway edema (n = 2), acute hypercapnia (n = 2), and cardiac arrest (n = 1).
Cough PEF was the strongest predictor of extubation outcome. The mean PEFs were significantly lower in unsuccessful extubations compared with successful extubations (64.2 ± 6.8 L/min vs 81.9 ± 2.7 L/min, p = 0.03). Figure 2
shows an ROC curve for the cohort using varied thresholds for PEF in predicting extubation outcomes. A PEF threshold of 60 L/min offered the optimum cut-off point. A PEF
60 L/min had a sensitivity of 69% and specificity of 74% in predicting extubation failure. If a patient who failed twice due to stridor is excluded, the sensitivity increases to 82%. Overall, patients with PEF
60 L/min were 5.1 times as likely to fail as those with PEF > 60 L/min (RR, 5.1; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.7 to 15.4; p = 0.003).
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60 L/min compared to those with PEF > 60 L/min within categories of APACHE II score, RSBI, age, and hemoglobin concentration. For instance, among those with RSBI
100 breaths/min/L, the risk of extubation failure for those with PEF
60 L/min was 4.0 times those with PEF > 60 L/min (95% CI, 0.6 to 27.4). Similarly, among those with RSBI < 100 breaths/min/L, patients with PEF
60 L/min were 6.3 times as likely to have unsuccessful extubation (95% CI, 1.3 to 30.2). Adjusting for RSBI, patients with PEF
60 L/min were 5.2 times as likely to have unsuccessful extubation compared to those with PEF > 60 L/min (95% CI, 1.6 to 17.5). Similar results were seen across strata of age, APACHE II scores, quantity of secretions, and hemoglobin levels.
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100 breaths/min/L in predicting extubation failure were 42% and 90%, respectively. Patients with RSBI
100 breaths/L/min were 4.1 times as likely to have unsuccessful extubation as those with RSBI < 100 breaths/L/min (RR, 4.1; 95% CI, 1.5 to 11.2). The association of RSBI with extubation outcome was confounded in part by the PEF (adjusted RR, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.1 to 7.2). Nonetheless, RSBI and PEF were both independent predictors of extubation outcomes from both the multivariate logistic regression and stratified analyses. Patients with neurologic problems (chronic dementia, cerebral vascular accident, and seizures) tended to be more likely to have unsuccessful extubation compared to those without neurologic problems (RR, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.0 to 7.3). When those with chronic dementia were excluded, patients with acute neurologic problems (ie, cerebral vascular accident and seizures) were 3.3 times as likely to have unsuccessful extubations compared to those without acute neurologic problems (95% CI, 1.2 to 8.8). Neurologic status was not associated with PEF, and both neurologic status and PEF were independent predictors of extubation outcomes.
Those whose pre-extubation SBT was a T-piece trial tended to have unsuccessful extubations more often than those who performed pressure support trials (p = 0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in the hemoglobin concentration, airway mechanics, APACHE II scores, and quantity of measured secretions between extubation successes and failures.
Nine patients died during hospitalization. These decedents tended to be older (72.8 years vs 63.0 years, p = 0.09) than survivors. There was no statistically significant difference in the admission APACHE II scores (mean, 25.3 vs 22.4; p = 0.3) or RSBI (RR, 1.0; 95% CI, 0.2 to 7.4; p = 0.7) between the decedents and survivors, respectively. Overall, patients with PEF
60 L/min were 19.1 times as likely to die during the hospitalization compared to those with PEF > 60 L/min (RR, 19.1; 95% CI, 2.5 to 145.9; p = 0.0002). Four of the seven patients who died in the group with PEF
60 L/min had aspiration demonstrated on swallowing evaluation prior to death. Patients with unsuccessful initial extubations were 6.4 times as likely to die during that hospitalization compared to those with successful extubation at the first attempt (RR, 6.4; 95% CI, 2.0 to 20.3; p = 0.008).
The median lengths of stay in the ICU and the hospital were 4 days and 14 days, respectively, for the cohort as a whole. Patients with PEF
60 L/min had longer median lengths of total hospitalization compared to those with PEF > 60 L/min (18 days vs 12 days, p = 0.02). Also, those with PEF
60 L/min tended to have longer durations of ventilation (median, 3.0 days vs 2.0 days; p = 0.1) and longer ICU durations (median, 4.5 days vs 4.0 days; p = 0.2), but these differences were not statistically significant. Patients with unsuccessful extubations stayed longer in the ICUs (11.7 ± 2.1 days vs 5.3 ± 0.4 days, p = 0.009). Similarly, patients who died had prolonged total hospitalization (median, 22 days vs 12 days; p = 0.02), due in part to prolonged duration of mechanical ventilation (median, 3 days vs 2 days; p = 0.07) and prolonged ICU stay (median, 9 days vs 4 days; p = 0.02).
| Discussion |
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The finding of an association between cough strength and extubation outcomes is not new3 5 ; however, to our knowledge, this is the first study to use an objective, inexpensive, reproducible measure of cough strength, before extubation, to demonstrate this association. The strengths of the association observed in the current study (RR, 5.1) and in our previous study (RR, 3.0 to 4.0) are similar, in spite of the differences in the measurement tools for cough strength. In the previous study, cough strength was assessed semiobjectively using a white card placed 1 to 2 cm from the open end of the endotracheal tube and subjectively on a 6-point scale.3 The similarity of results of both studies lends credence to the validity of our hypothesis. Given that the cough PEF is more objective and potentially reproducible across centers, we suggest that it should become the preferred method of assessing cough strength, particularly if our findings are replicated at other centers.
Only one previous study has examined the effects of cough peak flows on extubation outcomes. Bach and Saporito6 studied 49 tracheotomized patients with chronic respiratory failure due to neuromuscular disease. They found that cough PEFs were greater in those who were successfully decannulated, and that flows of 160 L/min following decannulation demarcated successes from failures. However, the method used to elicit PEFs was different: patients coughed from a maximal insufflation with a manual assist. Our cohort consisted of a general medical population of critically ill patients and had very few patients with primary neuromuscular disease. Moreover, peak flows through an endotracheal tube are bound to be lower than those in decannulated patients because intubated patients cannot close their glottis, thereby limiting the pressure generated when one attempts to cough. Thus, the reason for the lower threshold described in our study is a result of the different method insofar as our patients performed a "glotic-free cough PEF." Finally, the small number of failures makes the discriminative utility of the threshold value (60 L/min) less robust than would be the case had there been more failures. Nonetheless, the concordance of our findings (ie, peak flows predict outcomes) suggests that this variable is of prognostic significance in predicting extubation outcomes.
The magnitude of the association between poor cough strength and mortality was surprising though not totally unexpected. A previous study7 of ambulatory elderly patients demonstrated that peak flow rates were highly correlated with 5-year mortality. To our knowledge, no similar findings have been reported in critically ill patients recovering from respiratory failure. A strong voluntary cough requires effective co-ordination and intact respiratory neuromuscular activity. We speculate that patients with weak coughs have decreased ability to sustain long-term spontaneous ventilation or to adequately protect the airway, factors that are known to be associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Indeed, the observation of aspiration (antemortem) in four of the nine deaths supports such a hypothesis. Nonetheless, the small number of deaths and lack of information regarding the mechanism of death precludes drawing conclusions regarding this finding, which should be considered a simple observation that requires confirmation in future, larger, cross-sectional studies.
The failure to demonstrate an association between the quantity of suctioned secretions and extubation outcomes was surprising. Our previous study found a strong association between suctioning frequency and extubation outcomes. It is possible that because of that prior finding, our critical care physicians were not considering patients with obvious abundant secretions for SBTs or extubation. This is supported in part by the small number of patients (4%) with > 20 mL of secretions per hour prior to extubation; however, we also suspect that the lack of a standardized methodology (and frequency of suctioning) may account partly for lack of association between magnitude of secretions and extubation outcomes. Also, it is possible that the differing findings may be explained by chance (random variation), by differing methods of assessing endotracheal secretions, or by differing cohort characteristics.
Unlike our previous study,3 our current data do not support the idea that a hemoglobin concentration < 10 mg/dL increases the risk of extubation failure in patients who have passed an SBT. There are no apparent differences of the demographics of the populations to readily explain this difference. Although some unmeasured subtle differences of patients (eg, degree of subclinical coronary artery disease) could explain this difference, it could also be that our previous findings were errant or not generalizable to other samples. Finally, the relatively small numbers (especially of extubation failures) in both studies could lead to varying samples that are not necessarily reflective of the general, larger population of medical critically ill patients.
The study is limited by the relatively small study size and by the fact that maximal voluntary cough is effort dependent. The small sample size resulted in imprecise parameter estimates (with very wide CIs). Given that voluntary cough is effort dependent, failure to generate a strong cough may reflect simple lack of cooperation or effort rather than insufficient muscle strength. Moreover, the cumulative effects of sedatives, not measured in this study, could also affect patient cooperation and cough strength. In fact, four patients in our study did not attempt to cough on prompting. As per a priori study design, they were excluded from analysis because it was unclear as to whether such patients understood the instructions. In reality, these patients either had underlying dementia and/or were generally unable to follow commands due to concurrent encephalopathy; therefore, the voluntary PEF cannot be used in all patients. Perhaps the suctioned, involuntary cough may be a reasonable substitute. The relationship of neurologic variables and cough flows (not well examined in our study) and their effect on extubation outcomes requires further investigation. Moreover, we had few patients with neuromuscular disease, in whom cough flows may not be as helpful, and the majority of patients had acute critical illness (median duration of ventilation of 3 days, maximum of 15 days). Accordingly, it is important to emphasize that the PEF results of this study apply to this and perhaps other similar populations of acutely medically ill patients.
The above limitations notwithstanding, this study has demonstrated that voluntary cough PEF is associated with extubation outcome and in-hospital mortality in a heterogenous sample of medical critically ill patients. If replicated at other centers, this may provide clinicians with an inexpensive, objective extubation predictor to be used for patients who have passed an SBT.
| Acknowledgements |
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| Footnotes |
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Received for publication May 17, 2002. Accepted for publication October 18, 2002.
| References |
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This article has been cited by other articles:
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M. Ferrer, M. Valencia, J. M. Nicolas, O. Bernadich, J. R. Badia, and A. Torres Early Noninvasive Ventilation Averts Extubation Failure in Patients at Risk: A Randomized Trial Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., January 15, 2006; 173(2): 164 - 170. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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