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* From the Department of Internal Medicine (Drs. Fu and Kalemkerian), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and the Department of Family Medicine (Drs. Severson and Kau), Wayne State University, Detroit, MI.
Correspondence to: Gregory P. Kalemkerian, MD, University of Michigan Medical Center, C350 MIB, 1500 E Medical Center Dr, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-0848; e-mail: kalemker{at}umich.edu
| Abstract |
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Patients and methods: Data on demographics, stage at diagnosis, histology, initial therapy, and survival were obtained on all patients with primary bronchogenic carcinoma registered in the national Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database from 1975 to 1999.
Results: Of the 228,572 eligible patients, 35.8% were female. The median age at diagnosis was 66 years for both men and women. However, women accounted for 40.9% of patients who were < 50 years of age and for 35.4% of older patients. The incidence of lung cancer in men peaked at 72.5 per 100,000 person-years in 1984 and then declined to 47 per 100,000 person-years by 1999. In women, the incidence continued to rise to a peak of 33.1 per 100,000 person-years in 1991 before reaching a plateau at 30.2 to 32.3 per 100,000 person-years from 1992 to 1999. These changes have resulted in a marked narrowing of the male/female incidence ratio from 3.56 in 1975 to 1.56 in 1999. As initial treatment, women with local disease underwent surgery more frequently than did men. Stage-specific survival rates were better for women at all stages of disease (p < 0.0001). In a multivariate analysis, male gender was an independent negative prognostic factor (p < 0.0001).
Conclusion: The incidence rate of lung cancer in women in the United States has reached a plateau. However, women are relatively overrepresented among younger patients, raising the question of gender-specific differences in the susceptibility to lung carcinogens. At each stage of the disease, the relative survival of women is better than that of men, with the largest difference noted in patients with local disease.
Key Words: epidemiology gender incidence lung cancer survival
| Introduction |
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Gender-associated differences in the clinicopathologic characteristics and survival of patients with lung cancer appear to exist, but previous studies have yielded conflicting findings. Most studies2345 have reported that women receive diagnoses at a younger median age, suggesting that they have an increased susceptibility to the development of lung cancer. However, the effect of gender on the lung cancer risk associated with tobacco use remains unclear.367 Gender-related differences in the incidence of histologic subtypes and stage at presentation have also been variably reported.2489 Several studies10111213141516 have noted better overall survival rates in women with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) following surgical resection. Female gender has also been noted to be a favorable prognostic factor in patients with small cell lung cancer (SCLC).1718
To clarify gender-associated differences and temporal trends in clinicopathologic characteristics and survival rates for patients with primary bronchogenic carcinoma, we analyzed data from patients who were registered in the large, population-based, national Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database over a 25-year period.
| Materials and Methods |
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The national SEER data were screened to identify all patients with lung cancer who received diagnoses from 1975 to 1999 (337,036 patients). Patients were excluded based on the following (with values given as the percentage of patients excluded): diagnosis of cancer prior to lung cancer (13.7%); report by autopsy or death certificate only (2.1%); clinical diagnosis without biopsy (6.8%); in situ carcinoma (0.1%); and histologic identification other than small cell carcinoma, large cell carcinoma, squamous cell carcinoma, or adenocarcinoma (9.5%). The final study population consisted of 228,572 eligible patients.
Tumor stage was defined by the extent of disease with the following three categories: (1) local disease, an invasive neoplasm confined entirely to the organ of origin; (2) regional disease, extension beyond the organ of origin directly into surrounding tissues and/or regional lymph nodes; and (3) distant disease, discontinuous metastases, excluding regional lymph nodes. Survival was defined as the time between the date of diagnosis and the date of death.
Statistical Analysis
Comparison between genders in the frequency distribution of cancer stage, age, race, tumor histology, and types of initial treatment was evaluated with a
2 heterogeneity test. All reported p values are two-sided. Age-adjusted incidence rates and relative survival rates were calculated using statistical software (SEER*Stat 4.2; National Cancer Institute SEER Program; Bethesda, MD). All incidence rates are per 100,000 person-years. The relative survival rate was calculated by the life-table method, in which the observed survival rate is adjusted for expected mortality from all causes.19 All patients included in the study received diagnoses from 1975 to 1999, and follow-up data were available through December 1999. A comparable multivariate analysis using the Cox proportional hazards model was performed to evaluate the relative risk (RR) of death of male vs female patients while considering the potential confounding effects of, and effect modification by, selected covariates, including age at diagnosis, race, year of diagnosis, histology, stage, and initial therapy.20 The model was adjusted for geographic area within the SEER registry. Survival curves were plotted (log-log plot) to test the proportional hazards assumption. A statistical software package (Statistical Analysis System; SAS Institute; Cary, NC) was used for
2 calculations and multivariate survival analyses.21
| Results |
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50 years of age at the time of diagnosis. Analysis by race revealed that 8.8% of women and 11.3% of men were African-American (p < 0.0001).
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Incidence Rates
The age-adjusted incidence rate for lung cancer in men peaked at 72.5 per 100,000 person-years in 1984 and has declined steadily since then to 47 per 100,000 person-years in 1999 (Fig 1
). However, the incidence rate in women continued to rise until 1991 when it peaked at 33.1 per 100,000 person-years before plateauing at 30.2 to 32.3 per 100,000 person-years from 1992 to 1999 (Fig 1). This has resulted in a dramatic narrowing of the male/female incidence ratio during the study period from 3.56 in 1975 to 1.56 in 1999 (Fig 1).
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50 years) [1.49 vs 2.33, respectively]. A comparison of two study periods, from 1975 to 1987 and from 1988 to 1999, revealed that the incidence rate of lung cancer decreased over time in both men and women who were < 50 years of age but that the decline was greater in men (40.9% vs 27.6%, respectively), resulting in a narrowing of the male/female incidence ratio from 1.64 to 1.34 (Table 2). A similar temporal comparison in patients
50 years of age showed that the incidence rate decreased by 13.5% in men but increased by 37.3% in women between the two time periods, resulting in a more profound narrowing of the male/female ratio in older patients from 3.00 to 1.89.
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The incidence rate of adenocarcinoma increased in both men and women between 1975 to 1987 and 1988 to 1999, with a greater relative increase noted in women (40.5% vs 9.3%, respectively) [Table 2]. In contrast, incidence rates for squamous cell and small cell carcinoma decreased in men, while increasing slightly in women (Table 2, Fig 2 ). Over the entire study period, the greatest disparity between men and women was noted for those with squamous cell carcinoma (male/female ratio, 3.90), and the least gender disparity was for those with adenocarcinoma (male/female ratio, 1.65) [Table 2, Fig 2].
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Initial Therapy
The SEER database includes information on the first course of cancer-directed treatment received within 4 months of the initial diagnosis of cancer. For hospital/facility-based therapy, such as surgery and radiotherapy, the accuracy and completeness of these data are considered to be highly reliable, while for office-based therapy, such as chemotherapy, they are considered to be unreliable. Although the treatment information in the SEER database is not inclusive of all the therapy that patients may have received during the course of their disease, it is indicative of the level of aggressiveness with which the patient was initially managed. Surgery is the standard treatment for patients with localized, early-stage NSCLC who can tolerate lung resection, with radiotherapy reserved for those with limited pulmonary function. During the latter part of the study period, the standard treatment for most patients with regional NSCLC shifted from surgery and/or radiotherapy to chemotherapy plus radiotherapy. For patients with SCLC, local disease is rare, and the treatment of regional disease shifted from radiotherapy alone to radiotherapy plus chemotherapy during the study period. For patients with distant disease, either NSCLC or SCLC, the standard treatment is chemotherapy with radiotherapy reserved for the palliation of specific symptoms.
For patients with local disease, more women underwent surgery than men (63.7% vs 56.3%, respectively; p < 0.0001), while men were treated more frequently with radiotherapy (23.4% vs 18.2%, respectively; p < 0.0001) [Table 3 ]. A similar trend, although much smaller in magnitude, was evident in patients with regional disease. The use of combined-modality therapy is one estimate of the degree of aggressiveness with which patients are treated. For patients with regional disease, similar percentages of women (17.7%) and men (17.0%) were initially treated with both surgery and radiotherapy. In patients with distant disease, a slightly higher percentage of men underwent radiotherapy (50.3% vs 47.3%, respectively; p < 0.0001).
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Throughout the study period, the overall, 2-year, and 5-year relative survival rates were significantly higher in women than in men (p < 0.0001) [Fig 3 , Table 4 ]. During the course of the study period, overall survival rates increased in both men and women, with a slightly greater increase noted in men, resulting in a modest narrowing of the gender gap. For the time period from 1975 to 1987, the 2-year and 5-year relative survival rates were 5.2% and 4.2% greater in women, respectively, while for the time period from 1988 to 1999, they were 4.5% and 3.5% greater in women.
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1%.
To determine whether differences in treatment could account for gender-related differences in survival, the survival rate for men and women who received the same initial treatment was evaluated. Among patients who underwent surgery as part of their initial treatment, survival in women was superior to that in men, suggesting that the lower frequency of surgical resection in men was not solely responsible for the gender-associated difference in survival. Female patients who underwent surgery alone had 2-year and 5-year survival rates of 74.3% and 56.8%, respectively, while the survival rates for male patients were 66.0% and 48.3%, respectively (p < 0.0001). For patients who underwent radiotherapy, the relative 2-year and 5-year survival rates in men vs women were 15.5% vs 12.2% and 5.3% vs 3.4%, respectively (p
0.0001).
The results of a multivariate analysis of the RR of death incorporating demographic, geographic, temporal, and clinicopathologic variables are shown in Table 5
. During multivariate modeling, it became apparent that there was a significant interaction between gender and age for patients with local and regional disease, with the negative influence of male gender being greater in older patients. For example, relative to women who were < 50 years of age, the risk of death in men who were < 50 years of age with local disease was 1.08 (p > 0.05), while the risk of death in men who were
50 years of age relative to women who were
50 years of age was 1.28 (1.92/1.50; p < 0.05). Overall, male gender was an independent, negative prognostic indicator in all stages of disease, with the greatest negative impact on survival in patients with local disease. Advancing age also had a significant negative impact in all stages of disease. Black race had a small, but significant, negative influence on survival for patients with local and regional disease. For patients with local disease, any histologic diagnosis other than adenocarcinoma carried a significant negative impact.
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| Discussion |
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Most, but not all, prior studies have reported that women are diagnosed with lung cancer at an earlier age than men.241012131416 In our study, the median age at diagnosis in both men and women was 66 years, which was substantially older than that reported for women in many previous studies. However, we noted that women were proportionately overrepresented in the group of patients who were < 50 years of age.
Although many investigators have suggested that female smokers have an increased susceptibility to the development of lung cancer, prior epidemiologic studies have come to no uniform conclusion on this issue. While some prospective studies369 have reported that female smokers have a greater risk of developing lung cancer than male smokers, others have demonstrated comparable risks regardless of gender when controlling for tobacco smoke exposure. Our finding that women were overrepresented among younger patients also suggests, but clearly does not prove, that women may have an increased susceptibility to tobacco carcinogens.
Although the link between smoking and lung cancer is indisputable, the biological basis for a possible gender-specific difference in susceptibility remains unclear.2324 Zang and Wynder7 estimated that women had a 1.5-fold higher RR of lung cancer than men, despite the findings that women were more likely to be never-smokers and that men started smoking earlier, inhaled more deeply, and smoked more cigarettes per day. This study also reported that the dose-response odds ratios for the cumulative exposure to cigarette smoke were 1.2-fold to 1.7-fold higher in women for all histologic types. Risch et al25 found that the association between cigarette consumption and lung cancer risk was stronger for women than for men, regardless of histologic subtype. For example, the odds ratios for developing lung cancer for a 40-pack-year smoker relative to a lifelong nonsmoker were 27.9 in women and 9.6 in men. These findings and those of other studies26 reporting similar results suggest that the greater risk of lung cancer in female smokers relative to male smokers could be due to an increased susceptibility to the carcinogenic effects of tobacco smoke in women.
The difference in incidence rates for lung cancer between men and women has been narrowing over the past 20 years. From 1975 to 1999 the male/female ratio fell from 3.56 to 1.56. If the current trends continue, the rates of lung cancer in men and women in the United States will be equal within 10 to 15 years. Despite the good news that the incidence rate for lung cancer in women is no longer rising, the prolonged plateau that has persisted throughout the 1990s without an apparent downward trend is rather disturbing, especially viewed in light of the relatively brief plateau in incidence rates in men that presaged the current decline.
The existence of differences in the proportional incidence of the various histologic subtypes of lung cancer between men and women has been well-documented. Our study confirms that the major histologic subtype in women over the last 20 years has been adenocarcinoma, while this subtype has only risen to prominence in men over the past 10 years. The greatest gender differential continues to be seen for squamous cell carcinoma, a finding that appears to be due to the relatively low risk of this subtype in women. The reasons behind these histologic differences remain unclear but may be related to gender-specific differences in smoking habits or the type of cigarettes smoked. Alternatively, some reports27282930 of estrogen receptor (ER) expression by human lung cancer cells have suggested that exogenous or endogenous estrogens may play a role in the development of adenocarcinoma of the lung in women.
Prior studies that have addressed the effect of gender on the outcome of lung cancer have suggested that female gender carries some survival advantage. The present study confirms that women had statistically better outcomes than men at all stages of disease, with the greatest survival difference noted in local-stage disease. Several studies have reported gender-specific differences in survival in surgically treated patients with NSCLC, with women uniformly having better outcomes.101213141516 Other investigators have found1718 similar results favoring women in patients with SCLC. One retrospective, single institution study15 from Japan evaluated 1,123 consecutive patients with NSCLC and found that women with adenocarcinoma exhibited the most favorable prognosis, with multivariate analysis confirming that female gender was an independent, favorable prognostic factor. Alexiou et al13 reported that women had significantly better survival with pathologic stage I lung cancer, irrespective of histologic subtype. They also noted a nonsignificant trend toward higher survival rates in women with stage II and III disease. It seems clear that women with lung cancer have higher overall survival rates than their male counterparts. The reasons for this survival advantage have not been identified, but are likely due to a variety of factors. In our study, surgery was performed more frequently in women than in men with local-stage disease. While this may have been due to a somewhat older age distribution and possibly to more severe comorbidity in men, the exact reasons for this gender-specific difference in treatment are not discernable from our data. Since surgery offers patients with local-stage disease the best chance for long-term survival, this difference in treatment may partially explain the significantly superior survival noted for women with local-stage disease. However, our finding that gender remained an independent prognostic factor in a stage-specific multivariate analysis suggests that gender-specific variations in stage, initial therapy, and histologic subtype are not entirely responsible for the female survival advantage.
Hormonal influences may play an important role in the pathogenesis of lung cancer and the survival of lung cancer patients. One study27 demonstrated the gender-specific expression of ER
, with ER
expression in lung tumors and normal lung tissue in 85% and 31% of women, respectively, and in 15% and 0% of men, respectively. Other studies28 have suggested that the expression of ERß may be involved in the development of lung adenocarcinoma. However, some reports2930 have offered conflicting data regarding the expression and potential influence of hormonal factors in the development of NSCLC.
The interaction between gender and age that was noted during our multivariate modeling demonstrated that the relative gender-specific survival advantage was greater in the older patient population. This interaction may be due in part to potentially greater differences in comorbidity between the genders in older patients than in younger patients. However, it also might argue against a hormonal explanation for gender-specific differences in survival, since younger women are more hormonally active. Similarly, a Japanese study found that women who were
60 years of age with lung cancer had a higher overall survival rate than men, while those who were < 60 years of age did not.12
The present study has several limitations, including the lack of data on exposure to tobacco smoke, on the use of chemotherapy, and on treatments throughout the course of the disease. Like many epidemiologic studies, our review was retrospective, thereby restricting us to the use of the data at hand and limiting the interpretation of our findings. The SEER database also lacks information on comorbid conditions, some of which, such as cardiovascular disease, may also have gender-specific differences in incidence. It is possible that some of the gender-specific survival differences noted in this study may be related to comorbidities. The size of the population analyzed in the present study led to the identification of many statistically significant differences despite the presence of small, and possibly clinically irrelevant, absolute differences. In the reporting of our results, we have tried to focus on gender-specific variations that were at a level that would suggest a clinically or epidemiologically important difference. Despite these limitations, the present analysis of a large, population-based cancer registry offers significant insights into the effects of gender on the clinicopathologic features and prognosis of lung cancer, and on the temporal trends that have occurred over the past 25 years. Several of our findings, especially those pertaining to incidence and survival, deserve further study to evaluate the biological basis of these gender-specific differences.
| Acknowledgements |
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| Footnotes |
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Presented in part at the Fourth International Lung Cancer Congress, Maui, HI, June 2528, 2003, and the Tenth World Conference on Lung Cancer, Vancouver, BC, Canada, August 1014, 2003.
This research was supported in part by Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results contract No. N01-CN-65064 and NO1-PC-35145 from the National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
Received for publication May 6, 2004. Accepted for publication September 16, 2004.
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and ß and show biological responses to estrogen. Cancer Res 2002;62,2141-2150This article has been cited by other articles:
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S. G. Memtsoudis, M. C. Besculides, L. Zellos, N. Patil, and S. O. Rogers Trends in lung surgery: United States 1988 to 2002. Chest, November 1, 2006; 130(5): 1462 - 1470. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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International Early Lung Cancer Action Program Inv Women's Susceptibility to Tobacco Carcinogens and Survival After Diagnosis of Lung Cancer JAMA, July 12, 2006; 296(2): 180 - 184. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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V. W. Pinn Research on Women's Health: Progress and Opportunities JAMA, September 21, 2005; 294(11): 1407 - 1410. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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