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* From the Department of Medicine (Dr. Garcia), Division of General Internal Medicine, University of New Mexico School of Medicine, Albuquerque, NM; the Department of Medicine (Drs. Regan and Hughes), General Medicine Division, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; the Department of Medicine (Dr. Crowther), McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada; and the Department of Medicine (Dr. Hylek), General Internal Medicine Research Unit, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA.
A list of practices and directors that participated in the study is located in the Appendix.
Correspondence to: David A. Garcia, MD, Department of Internal Medicine, MSC10 5550, Albuquerque, NM 87131; e-mail: davgarcia{at}salud.unm.edu
| Abstract |
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Objective: To define the effects of age and gender on the warfarin maintenance dose among ambulatory adult patients with an international normalized ratio target between 2.0 and 3.0.
Design: Prospective cohort study and retrospective cohort secondary data source.
Setting: One hundred one community-based physician practices with dedicated warfarin management systems and an academic medical center anticoagulation clinic.
Patients: A total of 4,616 patients comprised the prospective cohort, and 7,586 patients comprised the retrospective cohort. Of the 12,202 patients, 2,359 were
80 years of age.
Measurements: Median weekly and daily maintenance warfarin dose.
Results: The warfarin dose was inversely related to age and was strongly associated with gender. The median weekly dose ranged from 45 mg (6.4 mg/d) for men who were < 50 years of age to 22 mg (3.1 mg/d) for women
80 years of age. The weekly dose declined by 0.4 mg/yr (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.37 to 0.44; p < 0.001) and women required 4.5 mg less per week than men (95% CI, 3.8 to 5.3; p < 0.001). Among patients who were > 70 years of age, the often-suggested initiation dose of 5 mg/d will be excessive for 82% of women and 65% of men.
Conclusions: Warfarin dose requirements decrease greatly with age. Older women require the lowest warfarin doses. These observations suggest that, when warfarin is being initiated, the commonly employed empiric starting dose of 5 mg/d will lead to overanticoagulation for the majority of patients in the geriatric age group; lower initiation and maintenance doses should be considered for the elderly.
Key Words: anticoagulation warfarin
| Introduction |
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80 years of age, and it is projected that 4 million individuals in the United States will have atrial fibrillation by the year 2030.2 Both the risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation and the risk of mortality in patients who experience a stroke increase with age.3 Warfarin therapy reduces the risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation by 68%.4 However, despite evidence that the benefit of anticoagulation therapy is greatest in patients who are > 75 years of age, advanced age independently predicts warfarin nonuse.5678 Warfarin is likely to remain the only widely available oral anticoagulant agent for the foreseeable future. The fear of hemorrhage and the anticipated difficulty with the control of anticoagulation therapy have been cited as reasons for not prescribing warfarin to elderly patients.9 Compared to younger patients, older individuals exhibit an enhanced dose response to warfarin, are more likely to become overanticoagulated, and take longer to return to safe international normalized ratio (INR) levels when they have a supratherapeutic INR.10111213141516 Furthermore, increasing age and elevated INR have been shown to be risk factors for bleeding among patients receiving anticoagulant therapy.17181920
Currently, few data are available to guide clinicians in the dosing of warfarin therapy for the very elderly. The largest published data set included patients who were treated to achieve different target INR intensities and included only 143 individuals who were
80 years of age.16 An article from The Seventh American College of Chest Physicians Consensus Conference on Antithrombotic and Thrombolytic Therapy21 stated that "a starting dose of < 5 mg might be appropriate in the elderly," but did not make specific recommendations for the geriatric population. Although prediction models22 of the maintenance warfarin dose have been published, it is not clear that octogenarians were well-represented in the derivation cohorts, and these models are not easily applied in all clinical settings. Similarly, warfarin initiation nomograms are largely based on younger patients.23 Two other published nomograms2425 incorporated adjustments for age, but were derived from study populations that included only 11 patients who were
80 years of age and 30 patients who were > 75 years of age. Warfarin nomograms are limited not only by the paucity of older patients included in the cohorts from which they were derived, but also by their reliance on daily or alternate-day monitoring of the INR. Such frequent laboratory testing represents a significant burden and may be unrealistic for many elderly patients who are initiating warfarin therapy. Compared to younger patients, older patients are more often dependent on others for transportation and are challenged by physical limitations to mobility. These impediments to frequent testing are especially relevant for those patients who live in less densely populated areas or in less developed countries. An awareness of these common, practical access barriers has prompted the authors of at least one guideline26 to recommend INR testing "at least weekly during the initiation of oral anticoagulant therapy."
Because warfarin dose requirements are known to decrease with age, the often-suggested empiric starting dose of 5 mg/d will likely result in supratherapeutic INR values for many elderly patients. Systematic overdosing of patients who are
80 years of age may partly explain the observation that the risk for major hemorrhage is highest in older patients and in the early phase of therapy.2728
Given the practical barriers that may limit the use of initiation nomograms, and the uncertainty about whether prediction models and nomograms can be generalized to patients who are > 80 years of age, we sought to describe warfarin maintenance dosing patterns that were experienced in the clinical care of two large, independent, ambulatory patient populations. We have provided the distribution of the warfarin maintenance dose by age, gender, and indication. Additional knowledge of warfarin dose requirements for very elderly individuals will help physicians with empiric dosing decisions. A more informed decision about dosing will likely decrease the risk of excessive anticoagulation, particularly among those patients for whom daily testing is not possible.
| Materials and Methods |
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18 years of age, had a physician-specified INR target range of 2.0 to 3.0, and had achieved a stable warfarin dose during the observation period. Health-care personnel (typically, a nurse or pharmacist dedicated to anticoagulation therapy management) from the participating clinic made these decisions. Encrypted patient-derived data from each site were transmitted weekly to an independent data-coordinating center (McKessonHBOC BioServices; Rockville, MD). Missing data fields and data-entry errors were flagged and resolved prior to data transfer. Study investigators were blinded to the identification and location of the participating practices and patients. Nearly all sites had experience using the designated data-entry system (CoumaCare; Bristol-Myers Squibb; Princeton, NJ) before the study began. The designated software program has been used by many anticoagulation therapy management services for clinical purposes (eg, patient tracking, data entry, and record keeping). The software does not make dosing or follow-up recommendations.
Variables of interest included age, gender, ethnicity, indication for oral anticoagulant therapy, physician-specified INR target range, INR values and dates of testing, warfarin dose at each visit, and the presence of other medical diagnoses, specifically, COPD, coronary artery disease, diabetes mellitus, heart failure, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, active malignancy, and prior stroke. The effect of amiodarone was specifically sought out because of the magnitude of its potentiating effect on warfarin.293031 Patient weight was routinely recorded in seven of the participating sites. The relationship between weight and gender was explored within this subset of patients.
Retrospective Cohort Secondary Data Source
We additionally assessed the effects of age and gender on warfarin dose in an independent cohort of ambulatory patients who were managed at the Anticoagulation Therapy Unit of Massachusetts General Hospital. We included all patients who were
18 years of age, had a specified INR target range of 2.0 to 3.0, were followed up during the period from 1993 to 2003, and had achieved a stable warfarin dose. The available data for this cohort included age, gender, indication for oral anticoagulant therapy, INR values, dates of testing, and warfarin dose prescribed. The retrospective cohort decisions about warfarin dosing and follow-up were made by nurses employed in the Anticoagulation Therapy Unit at the Massachusetts General Hospital.
Statistical Analysis
We defined a stable warfarin dose as a dose that was prescribed twice consecutively after two consecutive in-range INR measurements (ie, 2.0 to 3.0). For each patient, we used the first stable dose observed. The median warfarin dose was calculated across gender and decade of age. Univariate comparisons were performed using t tests and rank sum tests. Nonparametric tests for trend were used to assess the change in median dose with age.32
We assessed the independent effects of age and gender for the prospective cohort using multiple linear regression. Variables with the potential to influence the maintenance warfarin dose were included in the model if the p value was < 0.1 in the univariate analysis. A two-sided p value of < 0.05 was considered to be statistically significant. The final model included terms for age, gender, coronary artery disease, diabetes mellitus, heart failure, hypertension, amiodarone use, and venous thromboembolic disease. Analyses were performed using a statistical software package STATA software; (STATA Corp; College Station, TX). For the subset of patients with weight available, we present the median dose and age for men and women stratified by weight to better illustrate the relationships among these variables.
Human Studies Approval
The Western Institutional Review Board (Olympia, WA) provided approval of the registry protocol and the informed consent form. Each participating site director was responsible for obtaining internal human studies approval, if locally required, and to provide evidence that these requirements had been met before the site was enrolled. The study protocol was also approved by the institutional review board at Massachusetts General Hospital.
Role of the Funding Source
The funding source had no role in the collection, analysis, or interpretation of the data, or in the decision to submit the study for publication.
| Results |
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80 years of age. Sixty-two percent of the cohort was receiving warfarin therapy for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation, and 15% for venous thromboembolic disease. The maintenance warfarin dose was significantly greater for men compared to women (30 vs 25 mg/wk, respectively; p < 0.0001). Trends of decreasing dose with increasing age were significant overall and within each gender (all p < 0.01) [Fig 1
]. The decrements in the median weekly maintenance warfarin dose between the youngest age group (ie, < 50 years) and the oldest age group (ie,
90 years) were 47% for women and 39% for men.
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80 years of age required the lowest doses (median daily dose: for atrial fibrillation, 3.1 mg; for venous thromboembolic disease, 3.6 mg). Based on our study population, the often-recommended initiation dose of 5 mg/d would exceed the maintenance warfarin dose requirement for approximately 65% of women 60 to 69 years of age, 79% of women 70 to 79 years of age, and 84% of women
80 years of age (Table 3
).
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80 years of age. The median daily doses by age and gender for patients with atrial fibrillation or venous thromboembolic disease are presented alongside those of the prospective cohort in Table 2. Similar patterns of change in the median dose by age for women and men were evident in the two cohorts (Fig 1). The proportion of patients requiring a dose of < 35 mg/wk approximates that of the prospective cohort (Table 3).
Relationship of Gender and Weight to Maintenance Warfarin Dose
We examined the median warfarin dose by gender-stratified deciles of weight in the subset of 369 patients from the seven sites where weight was routinely recorded. The sample size was too small for significant dose comparisons within each stratum; however, in seven of the nine weight classes women required lower doses. There was no significant difference in mean age between genders for these strata (Table 5
). The exceptions to this trend were the weight class of 150 to 159 lbs, in which the higher dose among women may be explained by the fact that the women were significantly younger than the men (p = 0.017), and the heaviest weight class (ie, those weighing > 234 lbs).
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| Discussion |
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80 years of age and included patients who had been treated to achieve various target intensities. Existing data that form the basis of the current guidelines2133 were largely obtained from younger cohorts. In this study, we report on the maintenance warfarin dose of 12,202 ambulatory outpatients with an INR target range of 2.0 to 3.0. We provide the warfarin dosing experience of 2,359 individuals who were
80 years of age. We were able to assess the independent effects of age and gender through multiple linear regression models that controlled for medical conditions that are prevalent in this population and the known powerful effect of amiodarone.
We found highly significant associations between warfarin dose and age, and warfarin dose and gender in two large cohorts. For each additional year of age, the weekly warfarin dose declined by 0.4 mg. At any given age, the mean weekly warfarin dose for women was 4.5 mg lower than that for men. Among patients with atrial fibrillation as the indication for warfarin therapy, the median daily dose ranged from 5.4 mg, for men aged 50 to 59 years of age, to 3.1 mg, for women
80 years of age. These findings have important implications for patient safety and quality of anticoagulation control in the outpatient setting where daily or alternate-day monitoring of the INR is not always possible. Based on the actual warfarin maintenance doses observed in our study populations, the often-recommended 5 mg daily warfarin starting dose would be too high for up to 82% of women (and 65% of men) who were > 70 years of age. Thus, our data suggest that the higher rates of bleeding and erratic INR values that have been reported17181920 in the early phase of warfarin therapy may in part be explained by overly aggressive dosing in the elderly.
The mechanism for increased sensitivity to warfarin with aging is not well-understood. Factors such as hypoalbuminemia (leading to a reduced volume of distribution), decreased dietary vitamin K intake (resulting in a decreased capacity to synthesize functional clotting factors), reduced absorption of vitamin K, and polypharmacy (producing drug-drug interactions that potentiate warfarin) may lead to increased warfarin sensitivity for an individual patient. The pharmacokinetics of warfarin do not explain the lower dose requirements, because the distribution and elimination half-lives of warfarin change very little with advancing age.3435
Pharmacodynamic changes with age have been studied much less. A negative correlation between age and hepatic drug-metabolizing enzymes has been observed in rat models in vitro,3637 and a study38 of hepatic microsomal enzymes in humans showed a 30% decline in hepatic drug metabolism and cytochrome P450 content with age. Others have suggested an age-related decrease in the diffusion of oxygen within the hepatocyte that compromises the oxygen-dependent mixed-function oxidase enzymes.39 Changes in hepatic glutathione levels and decreased activity of the nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate-dependent reductase of vitamin K are other touted hypotheses.40
The observation that women, independent of age, require less warfarin than men may be explained partly by differences in mean body size or hepatic fat content, or by intrinsic differences in warfarin metabolism. Reports41 of sex-related differences in hepatic clearance by cytochrome P450 enzymes warrant further investigation. One set of experiments42 using an animal model has suggested that the expression of at least some cytochrome P450 enzymes may be regulated by sex steroids.
Our study was based on two large patient populations. Therefore, we were unable to account for individual genetic variation (eg, polymorphism in P450 CYP2C9). However, differences in the CYP2C9 genotype would not be expected to confound our central findings of increased warfarin sensitivity with advancing age and gender. Furthermore, pharmacogenetic testing will not be widely available to assist physicians making time-sensitive treatment decisions in the office setting, and there is currently no evidence describing the specific influence of CYP2C9 genotype on warfarin dosing in individual patients.
The possible effect of weight on warfarin dose could not be completely accounted for in our data set. It is likely that female gender largely subsumes the effect of weight on dose requirement. In our analysis of a small subset of patients, the effect of weight was most evident in the uppermost deciles (ie, > 234 lbs). Overall, our data suggest that gender-related differences in dose are independent of weight.
The data used in our analysis were derived entirely from outpatients who were receiving long-term warfarin therapy. Although our study did not directly address the initiation doses of warfarin for the immediate treatment of an acute arterial or venous thrombosis, our results support a cautious approach to empiric dose selection, particularly in older women. Care must be taken in extrapolating the results from studies of younger cohorts with male predominance in whom initiation doses of 10 mg/d were shown to be safe.4344454647 The median doses listed in Table 2 may be a reasonable empiric choice for some elderly outpatients in whom warfarin therapy is being initiated. It must be remembered, however, that optimal initiation and maintenance doses of warfarin will likely be lower among hospitalized patients, because they are more likely to experience concomitant decreased oral intake, recent surgery, decompensated heart failure, liver impairment, polypharmacy, or other factors associated with reduced warfarin dose requirement.1048 Individuals who are sensitive to warfarin would be expected to manifest an early, exuberant anticoagulant response, usually after the second dose. Finally, for patients whose weight deviates significantly from the norm for their age and gender, body mass should also be considered in any empiric dosing decisions.
| Conclusions |
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| Appendix |
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| Footnotes |
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This research was supported by a grant from Bristol-Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ. Dr. Crowther holds a Canadian Institutes for Health Research Scholarship.
Received for publication October 19, 2004. Accepted for publication December 3, 2004.
| References |
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L. R Bereznicki, S. L Jackson, and G. M Peterson Comment: Increased Sensitivity to Warfarin after Heart Valve Replacement Ann. Pharmacother., July 1, 2006; 40(7): 1476 - 1477. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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Warfarin Dosing in Older Patients Journal Watch Cardiology, August 5, 2005; 2005(805): 7 - 7. [Full Text] |
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Warfarin Dosing in Older Patients Journal Watch (General), July 12, 2005; 2005(712): 2 - 2. [Full Text] |
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